Stirling and Strathallan
Scotland · County constituency
About the Stirling and Strathallan constituency
Stirling and Strathallan is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Chris Kane (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 33.9% to 31.1% for the SNP, a majority of 1,394 votes on a 65.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 31.4% and Labour on 21.9%, a margin of 9.5 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Stirling and Strathallan? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Stirling and Strathallan vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Stirling and Strathallan
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Stirling and Strathallan voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Stirling and Strathallan crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Stirling (85%), Perthshire South and Kinross-shire (10%), Clackmannanshire and Dunblane (4%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Stirling and Strathallan's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling | 85% | SNP 42.4% | Conservative 19.2% | Alyn Smith |
| Perthshire South and Kinross-shire | 10% | SNP 40.4% | Conservative 26.5% | Jim Fairlie |
| Clackmannanshire and Dunblane | 4% | SNP 37.8% | Labour 24.6% | Keith Brown |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Stirling and Strathallan within Stirling and Perth and Kinross
Stirling and Strathallan crosses council boundaries: Stirling (92%), Perth and Kinross (8%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Stirling | 92% |
| Perth and Kinross | 8% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | Forth and Endrick | Con HOLD | Con 34% SNP 30% Lab 11% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | Stirling East | SNP GAIN from Con | - |
| 23 Jan 2025 | Bannockburn | SNP GAIN from Lab | - |
| 5 Dec 2024 | Stirling East | SNP GAIN from Lab | - |
| 27 Sep 2024 | Strathallan | LD GAIN from Con | Con 32% LD 30% SNP 17% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bannockburn | Labour 44.2%vs SNP 31.5% | 2022 SNP 28.7%Independent 26.0%, Labour 20.7%, Conservative 19.1%, Green 2.4%, Lib Dem 2.1%, Others 1.1% | - | 38.4% |
| Dunblane and Bridge of Allan | Labour 30.0%vs SNP 29.2% | 2022 Conservative 30.1%SNP 25.8%, Green 16.0%, Labour 11.9%, Lib Dem 9.4%, Independent 5.3%, Others 1.6% | - | 36.1% |
| Forth and Endrick | SNP 33.6%vs Labour 31.0% | 2022 Conservative 36.1%SNP 35.2%, Labour 14.1%, Independent 7.8%, Lib Dem 5.7%, Others 1.1% | - | 55.5% |
| Stirling East | Labour 40.1%vs SNP 34.4% | 2022 SNP 38.7%Conservative 23.3%, Labour 21.6%, Independent 7.9%, Green 4.8%, Lib Dem 2.4%, Others 1.4% | - | 44.6% |
| Stirling West | Labour 36.2%vs SNP 31.3% | 2022 Conservative 37.1%SNP 35.7%, Labour 20.0%, Lib Dem 5.2%, Others 2.0% | - | 54.0% |
| Strathallan | Labour 30.6%vs SNP 29.8% | 2022 Conservative 46.6%SNP 35.0%, Lib Dem 11.4%, Green 7.0% | - | 50.1% |
| Trossachs and Teith | SNP 33.9%vs Conservative 27.1% | 2022 Conservative 45.0%SNP 33.4%, Labour 9.1%, Green 8.3%, Lib Dem 3.5%, Others 0.8% | - | 56.7% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Stirling and Strathallan at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Stirling and Strathallan at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Anne McGuire Stirling MP | 41.8% | 24.0% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 8,304 | 70.9% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Steven Paterson Stirling MP | 25.5% | 23.1% | 2.7% | 45.6% | 10,480 | 77.5%+6.6 |
| 2017predecessor | Con gain from SNP | Stephen Kerr Stirling MP | 22.1% | 37.1% | 3.4% | 36.8% | 148 | 74.3%-3.2 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Alyn Smith Stirling MP, pre-review boundary | 7.7% | 35.0% | 5.8% | 49.8% | 8,556 | 75.1% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Chris Kane | 33.9% | 19.0% | 5.1% | 31.1% | 1,394 | 65.3%-9.8 |
Stirling and Strathallan was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Stirling (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Stirling and Strathallan
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Stirling and Strathallan. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate51.8 / 49.3vs 33.7
- ↓Leave35.9 / 39.7vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent12.7 / 13.8vs 20.2
- ↓Leave35.9 / 36.3vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate51.8 / 49.6vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.2 / 67.2vs 61.9
- ↓Leave35.9 / 39.6vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate51.8 / 46.5vs 33.7
- ↓No quals12.8 / 10.7vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate51.8 / 46.9vs 33.7
- ↓Leave35.9 / 40.7vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent12.7 / 10.6vs 20.2
- ↓Leave35.9 / 35.5vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate51.8 / 45.3vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent12.7 / 10.4vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.