Constituency profile

North East Fife

Scotland · County constituency · Fife borough

Wendy Chamberlain MP
Sitting MP

Wendy Chamberlain

Liberal Democrat

First elected December 2019

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
County constituency, Fife council
Last 5 GE winners
LDSSSLD
SNP 3/5, Liberal Democrats 2/5
EU referendum 2016
36.3% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -15.6pp below mean
Current outlook
Liberal Democrats +21.7pp
vs SNP 26.1%
ScottishRemain-leaningGraduate-heavy

About the North East Fife constituency

North East Fife is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Wendy Chamberlain (Liberal Democrat), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 54.7% to 23.2% for the SNP, a majority of 13,479 votes on a 61.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 47.7% and the SNP on 26.1%, a margin of 21.7 points.

Who lives in North East Fife? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
36.3%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
49.6%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
12.4%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
67.2%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
31.2%
UK average ~36%
Median age
46.0
UK median ~40
Age 65+
27.8%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
30.3%
UK average ~28%

How did North East Fife vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from SNP · majority 13,479 votes (31.5pp) · turnout 61.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of North East Fife

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Holyrood 2026 layer

How North East Fife voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

North East Fife sits almost entirely within the Holyrood constituency of Fife North East. Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyShare of North East FifeWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Fife North East92%Liberal Democrats 63.7%SNP 23.5%Willie Rennie
Mid Fife and Glenrothes6%SNP 48.5%Reform UK 18.8%Jenny Gilruth

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

North East Fife within Fife

North East Fife sits entirely within Fife Council. Fife was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Fife
1 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
CuparLib Dem 64.0%vs SNP 21.1%2022 Lib Dem 52.4%vs SNP 25.8%-44.0%
East Neuk and LandwardLib Dem 62.1%vs SNP 22.2%2022 Lib Dem 44.8%vs SNP 25.1%-51.2%
Howe of Fife and Tay CoastLib Dem 52.2%vs SNP 21.5%2022 Lib Dem 44.9%vs SNP 31.0%-53.3%
Leven, Kennoway and LargoLib Dem 39.8%vs SNP 33.3%2022 SNP 42.5%vs Labour 24.7%-43.0%
St AndrewsLib Dem 60.1%vs SNP 20.4%2022 Lib Dem 48.1%vs SNP 22.2%-41.7%
Tay BridgeheadLib Dem 61.4%vs SNP 22.9%2022 Lib Dem 48.2%vs SNP 28.4%-52.7%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for North East Fife at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won North East Fife at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010LD holdMenzies Campbell17.1%21.8%44.3%2.6% UKIP--9,04863.8%
2015SNP gain from LDStephen Gethins7.7%16.3%31.3%-3.1%0.7%4,34473.0%+9.2
2017SNP holdStephen Gethins9.6%24.1%32.9%--0.5%271.3%-1.7
2019notionalScottish National Party winner5.5%13.7%39.6%--41.2%72874.1%+2.8
2024LD gain from SNPWendy Chamberlain9.4%3.9%54.7%4.9% Ref3.9%-13,47961.2%-12.9

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like North East Fife

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to North East Fife. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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