Midlothian
Scotland · County constituency · Midlothian
About the Midlothian constituency
Midlothian is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Kirsty McNeill (Labour (Co-op)), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 48.6% to 30.1% for the SNP, a majority of 8,167 votes on a 60.0% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 31.3% and the SNP on 31.2%, a margin of 0.0 points.
Who lives in Midlothian? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Midlothian vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Midlothian
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Midlothian voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Midlothian crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale (60%), Midlothian North (39%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Midlothian's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale | 60% | SNP 40.9% | Conservative 20.1% | Calum Kerr |
| Midlothian North | 39% | SNP 38.9% | Labour 30.3% | Colin Beattie |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Midlothian within Midlothian
Midlothian sits entirely within Midlothian Council. Midlothian was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Midlothian | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonnyrigg | Labour 53.7%vs SNP 28.5% | 2022 Labour 40.4%SNP 35.2%, Conservative 16.8%, Green 7.6% | - | 42.2% |
| Dalkeith | Labour 57.0%vs SNP 27.5% | 2022 Labour 46.0%SNP 35.1%, Conservative 10.7%, Green 6.9%, Others 1.3% | - | 18.4% |
| Midlothian East | Labour 49.7%vs SNP 31.2% | 2022 SNP 33.6%Labour 29.8%, Conservative 22.4%, Green 8.7%, Lib Dem 5.5% | - | 40.4% |
| Midlothian South | Labour 51.4%vs SNP 32.2% | 2022 SNP 41.4%Labour 36.7%, Conservative 12.9%, Green 7.0%, Others 2.1% | - | 21.6% |
| Midlothian West | Labour 46.6%vs SNP 33.2% | 2022 SNP 36.9%Labour 26.7%, Conservative 18.6%, Green 10.1%, Lib Dem 6.5%, Others 1.2% | - | 44.3% |
| Penicuik | Labour 44.0%vs SNP 37.4% | 2022 SNP 43.2%Labour 23.9%, Conservative 17.7%, Green 7.4%, Lib Dem 6.8%, Others 0.9% | - | 46.3% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Midlothian at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Midlothian at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | David Hamilton | 47.0% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 10,349 | 63.9% |
| 2015 | SNP gain from Lab | Owen Thompson | 30.2% | 11.9% | 2.3% | 50.6% | 9,859 | 71.2%+7.3 |
| 2017 | Lab gain from SNP | Danielle Rowley | 36.4% | 25.4% | 3.8% | 34.4% | 885 | 66.3%-4.9 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Owen Thompson 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 29.7% | 21.7% | 7.0% | 41.5% | 5,705 | 67.7%+1.4 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Kirsty McNeill | 48.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 30.1% | 8,167 | 60.0%-7.7 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Midlothian
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Midlothian. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave37.9 / 36.6vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent7.6 / 9.3vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate41.6 / 42.0vs 33.7
- ↓Leave37.9 / 36.8vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent7.6 / 9.0vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate41.6 / 43.1vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent7.6 / 8.8vs 20.2
- ↓Leave37.9 / 42.6vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate41.6 / 42.6vs 33.7
- ↓Leave37.9 / 35.5vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent7.6 / 10.4vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate41.6 / 45.3vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent7.6 / 8.7vs 20.2
- ↓Leave37.9 / 42.1vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate41.6 / 40.7vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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