Livingston
Scotland · County constituency · West Lothian borough
About the Livingston constituency
Livingston is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Gregor Poynton (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 40.9% to 33.0% for the SNP, a majority of 3,528 votes on a 57.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 35.0% and Labour on 28.7%, a margin of 6.3 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Livingston? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Livingston vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Livingston
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Livingston voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Livingston crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Almond Valley (84%), Bathgate (14%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Share of Livingston | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almond Valley | 84% | SNP 46.3% | Labour 21.9% | Angela Constance |
| Bathgate | 14% | SNP 40.7% | Labour 24.0% | Pauline Stafford |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).
Livingston within West Lothian
Livingston sits entirely within West Lothian Council. West Lothian was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| West Lothian | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2025 | Broxburn Uphall and Winchburgh | SNP HOLD | — |
| 9 Dec 2022 | Broxburn Uphall and Winchburgh | Lab HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broxburn, Uphall and Winchburgh | Labour 43.7%vs SNP 33.4% | 2022 SNP 41.9%vs Labour 29.6% | - | 21.4% |
| East Livingston and East Calder | Labour 37.6%vs SNP 36.7% | 2022 SNP 41.8%vs Labour 21.1% | - | 18.8% |
| Fauldhouse and the Breich Valley | Labour 50.4%vs SNP 30.6% | 2022 Labour 40.2%vs SNP 38.3% | - | 39.9% |
| Livingston North | Labour 38.3%vs SNP 38.2% | 2022 SNP 48.6%vs Labour 23.8% | - | 39.5% |
| Livingston South | Labour 47.0%vs SNP 33.4% | 2022 SNP 39.0%vs Labour 32.4% | - | 15.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Livingston at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Livingston at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Graeme Morrice | 48.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10,791 | 63.1% |
| 2015 | SNP gain from Lab | Hannah Bardell | 27.6% | 10.3% | 2.1% | 16,843 | 69.9%+6.8 |
| 2017 | SNP hold | Hannah Bardell | 32.7% | 24.4% | 2.9% | 3,878 | 64.7%-5.2 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Hannah Bardell 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 22.0% | 21.9% | 6.2% | 12,424 | 65.3%+0.6 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Gregor Poynton | 40.9% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3,528 | 57.5%-7.8 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Livingston
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Livingston. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Private rent9.6 / 8.8vs 20.2
- ↓Leave43.3 / 42.6vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent24.0 / 25.1vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent9.6 / 8.7vs 20.2
- ↓Leave43.3 / 42.1vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate40.7 / 40.7vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent9.6 / 7.6vs 20.2
- ↓Leave43.3 / 37.9vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate40.7 / 41.6vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent9.6 / 8.3vs 20.2
- ↓Leave43.3 / 41.2vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent24.0 / 25.8vs 16.8
- ↓Leave43.3 / 41.8vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent9.6 / 11.9vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate40.7 / 45.4vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.