Constituency profile

Blaydon and Consett

North East · County constituency

Liz Twist MP
Sitting MP

Liz Twist

Labour

First elected June 2017

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North East
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
55.6% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +3.7pp above mean
Current outlook
Labour +12.2pp
vs Reform UK 28.9%
NorthernLeave-leaning

About the Blaydon and Consett constituency

Blaydon and Consett is a county constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Liz Twist (Labour), first elected in June 2017. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 50.1% to 23.7% for Reform UK, a majority of 11,153 votes on a 59.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 41.1% and Reform UK on 28.9%, a margin of 12.2 points.

Who lives in Blaydon and Consett? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
55.6%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
29.1%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
18.5%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
66.9%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
32.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
45.0
UK median ~40
Age 65+
26.0%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
25.5%
UK average ~28%

How did Blaydon and Consett vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 11,153 votes (26.4pp) · turnout 59.9%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Blaydon and Consett

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Blaydon and Consett within Gateshead and County Durham

Blaydon and Consett crosses council boundaries: Gateshead (51%), County Durham (49%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Gateshead
29 LSOAs
51%View projection ›
County Durham
28 LSOAs
49%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
BenfieldsideLabour 45.4%vs Reform 25.8%No council data--
BlaydonLabour 54.0%vs Reform 24.6%May 2026 Reform 44.1%vs Labour 32.9%
Labour→Reform
+20.3pp
39.1%
Burnopfield and DiptonLabour 49.0%vs Reform 24.2%No council data--
Chopwell and Rowlands GillLabour 55.1%vs Reform 21.4%May 2026 Labour 46.7%vs Reform 33.5%
Labour share
-8.5pp
49.1%
Consett NorthLabour 44.3%vs Reform 25.4%No council data--
Consett SouthLabour 40.3%vs Reform 29.1%No council data--
Crawcrook and GreensideLabour 54.7%vs Reform 21.0%May 2026 Labour 40.7%vs Reform 32.1%
Labour share
-13.9pp
51.5%
Delves LaneLabour 44.3%vs Reform 26.2%No council data--
Leadgate and MedomsleyLabour 41.7%vs Reform 27.9%No council data--
Ryton, Crookhill and StellaLabour 57.4%vs Reform 19.5%May 2026 Labour 37.5%vs Reform 31.2%
Labour share
-19.9pp
50.5%
Winlaton and High SpenLabour 53.7%vs Reform 21.3%May 2026 Reform 46.1%vs Labour 34.0%
Labour→Reform
+22.2pp
49.7%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Blaydon and Consett at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Blaydon and Consett at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdPat Glass North West Durham MP42.3%20.0%24.9%2.9% UKIP-9.9%7,61262.3%
2015predecessorLab holdPat Glass North West Durham MP46.9%23.4%9.1%17.0% UKIP3.7%-10,05661.3%-1.0
2017predecessorLab holdLaura Pidcock North West Durham MP52.8%34.5%7.1%4.5% UKIP1.1%-8,79266.6%+5.3
2019notionalLabour winnerLiz Twist Blaydon MP, pre-review boundary44.0%34.9%4.6%-3.0%13.5%4,28566.9%
2024Lab holdLiz Twist50.1%14.3%5.4%23.7% Ref6.1%0.3%11,15359.9%-7.0

Blaydon and Consett was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat North West Durham (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Blaydon and Consett

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Blaydon and Consett. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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