Cramlington and Killingworth
North East · County constituency
About the Cramlington and Killingworth constituency
Cramlington and Killingworth is a county constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Emma Foody (Labour (Co-op)), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 49.1% to 20.8% for Reform UK, a majority of 12,820 votes on a 59.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 39.1% and Reform UK on 26.0%, a margin of 13.1 points.
Who lives in Cramlington and Killingworth? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Cramlington and Killingworth vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Cramlington and Killingworth
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Cramlington and Killingworth within Northumberland and North Tyneside and 1 other council
Cramlington and Killingworth crosses council boundaries: Northumberland (49%), North Tyneside (46%), Newcastle upon Tyne (5%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Northumberland | 49% | — |
| North Tyneside | 46% | View projection › |
| Newcastle upon Tyne | 5% | View projection › |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2024 | Cramlington Eastfield | Con HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camperdown | Labour 51.7%vs Reform 23.3% | May 2026 Reform 40.8%vs Labour 33.0% | Labour→Reform +18.1pp | - |
| Castle | Labour 48.3%vs Reform 15.8% | May 2026 Green 34.4%vs Lib Dem 33.4% | Labour→Green +33.2pp | 43.6% |
| Cramlington East | Labour 47.5%vs Reform 22.7% | 2021 Independent 42.2%vs Labour 38.8% | - | 31.5% |
| Cramlington Eastfield | Labour 42.8%vs Conservative 26.8% | 2021 Conservative 59.1%vs Labour 30.1% | - | 37.6% |
| Cramlington North | Labour 33.3%vs Conservative 27.7% | 2021 Conservative 76.8%vs Labour 23.2% | - | 41.5% |
| Cramlington South East | Labour 46.0%vs Conservative 22.4% | 2021 Conservative 61.8%vs Labour 38.2% | - | 44.6% |
| Cramlington Village | Labour 41.2%vs Conservative 28.9% | 2021 Conservative 68.4%vs Labour 26.1% | - | 40.8% |
| Cramlington West | Labour 40.0%vs Reform 28.4% | 2021 Conservative 65.4%vs Labour 34.6% | - | 30.4% |
| Hartley | Labour 48.6%vs Conservative 22.5% | 2021 Conservative 47.2%vs Labour 47.1% | - | 47.6% |
| Holywell | Labour 50.5%vs Conservative 20.2% | 2021 Labour 57.0%vs Conservative 36.9% | - | 43.2% |
| Killingworth | Labour 52.4%vs Reform 21.9% | May 2026 Reform 42.5%vs Labour 33.7% | Labour→Reform +19.6pp | - |
| Seghill with Seaton Delaval | Labour 47.5%vs Conservative 23.6% | 2021 Conservative 54.5%vs Labour 45.5% | - | 35.0% |
| Weetslade | Labour 49.7%vs Reform 19.6% | May 2026 Reform 44.2%vs Labour 28.3% | Labour→Reform +23.0pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Cramlington and Killingworth at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Cramlington and Killingworth at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Ronnie Campbell Blyth Valley MP | 44.5% | 16.6% | 27.2% | 6,668 | 61.3% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Ronnie Campbell Blyth Valley MP | 46.3% | 21.7% | 5.9% | 9,229 | 62.8%+1.5 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Ronnie Campbell Blyth Valley MP | 55.9% | 37.3% | 4.6% | 7,915 | 67.0%+4.2 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | — | 44.4% | 39.9% | 5.2% | 2,157 | 65.6% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Emma Foody | 49.1% | 18.9% | 4.2% | 12,820 | 59.6%-6.0 |
Cramlington and Killingworth was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Blyth Valley (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Cramlington and Killingworth
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Cramlington and Killingworth. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied67.4 / 66.9vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate29.1 / 29.1vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent11.9 / 15.2vs 20.2
- ↓Private rent11.9 / 14.4vs 20.2
- ↓Graduate29.1 / 28.3vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.4 / 65.0vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent11.9 / 13.3vs 20.2
- ↓Graduate29.1 / 28.6vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent11.9 / 13.5vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied67.4 / 69.0vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent11.9 / 12.3vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied67.4 / 69.9vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate29.1 / 31.2vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.