Constituency profile

Cramlington and Killingworth

North East · County constituency

Emma Foody MP
Sitting MP

Emma Foody

Labour (Co-op)

MP since July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North East
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
56.1% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +4.2pp above mean
Current outlook
Labour +15.0pp
vs Reform UK 28.3%
NorthernLeave-leaning

About the Cramlington and Killingworth constituency

Cramlington and Killingworth is a county constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Emma Foody (Labour (Co-op)), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 49.1% to 20.8% for Reform UK, a majority of 12,820 votes on a 59.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 43.2% and Reform UK on 28.3%, a margin of 15.0 points.

Who lives in Cramlington and Killingworth? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
56.1%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
29.1%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
17.4%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
67.4%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
31.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
43.8
UK median ~40
Age 65+
25.6%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
26.6%
UK average ~28%

How did Cramlington and Killingworth vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 12,820 votes (28.3pp) · turnout 59.6%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Cramlington and Killingworth

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Cramlington and Killingworth within Northumberland and North Tyneside and 1 other council

Cramlington and Killingworth crosses council boundaries: Northumberland (49%), North Tyneside (46%), Newcastle upon Tyne (5%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent ward result with vote counts available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat2026 election
Northumberland
30 LSOAs
49%-
North Tyneside
28 LSOAs
46%2026 result ›
Newcastle upon Tyne
3 LSOAs
5%2026 result ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
CamperdownLabour 51.7%vs Reform 23.3%May 2026 Reform 40.8%vs Labour 33.0%
Labour→Reform
+18.1pp
-
CastleLabour 48.3%vs Reform 15.8%May 2026 Green 34.4%vs Lib Dem 33.4%
Labour→Green
+33.2pp
43.6%
Cramlington EastLabour 47.5%vs Reform 22.7%2025 Independent 30.7%vs Reform 30.2%2025 ward: Cramlington East & Double Row, covering 100% of this ward-30.0%
Cramlington EastfieldLabour 42.8%vs Conservative 26.8%2025 Conservative 42.4%vs Reform 23.5%-35.0%
Cramlington NorthLabour 33.3%vs Conservative 27.7%2025 Conservative 69.1%vs Reform 15.5%-44.0%
Cramlington South EastLabour 46.0%vs Conservative 22.4%2025 Conservative 53.8%vs Labour 23.3%-44.0%
Cramlington VillageLabour 41.2%vs Conservative 28.9%2025 Conservative 53.4%vs Reform 21.9%-39.0%
Cramlington WestLabour 40.0%vs Reform 28.4%2025 Reform 39.4%vs Labour 28.8%2025 ward: Cramlington South West, covering 67% of this ward-26.0%
HartleyLabour 48.6%vs Conservative 22.5%2025 Reform 35.5%vs Conservative 31.3%-43.0%
HolywellLabour 50.5%vs Conservative 20.2%2025 Labour 41.1%vs Reform 35.7%-39.0%
KillingworthLabour 52.4%vs Reform 21.9%May 2026 Reform 42.5%vs Labour 33.7%
Labour→Reform
+19.6pp
-
Seghill with Seaton DelavalLabour 47.5%vs Conservative 23.6%2025 Conservative 44.1%vs Reform 28.8%-34.0%
WeetsladeLabour 49.7%vs Reform 19.6%May 2026 Reform 44.2%vs Labour 28.3%
Labour→Reform
+23.0pp
-

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Cramlington and Killingworth at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Cramlington and Killingworth at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdRonnie Campbell Blyth Valley MP44.5%16.6%27.2%4.3% UKIP-7.4%6,66861.3%
2015predecessorLab holdRonnie Campbell Blyth Valley MP46.3%21.7%5.9%22.3% UKIP3.8%-9,22962.8%+1.5
2017predecessorLab holdRonnie Campbell Blyth Valley MP55.9%37.3%4.6%-2.2%-7,91567.0%+4.2
2019notionalLabour winner-44.4%39.9%5.2%8.0% Brx2.5%-2,15765.6%
2024Lab holdEmma Foody49.1%18.9%4.2%20.8% Ref4.7%2.3%12,82059.6%-6.0

Cramlington and Killingworth was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Blyth Valley (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Cramlington and Killingworth

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Cramlington and Killingworth. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.