Broxtowe
East Midlands · County constituency · Broxtowe
About the Broxtowe constituency
Broxtowe is a county constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Juliet Campbell (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 40.9% to 23.3% for the Conservatives, a majority of 8,403 votes on a 67.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 32.0% and Reform UK on 21.6%, a margin of 10.4 points.
Who lives in Broxtowe? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Broxtowe vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Broxtowe
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Broxtowe within Broxtowe
Broxtowe sits entirely within Broxtowe Council. Broxtowe was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Broxtowe | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Dec 2025 | Stapleford South East | Local GAIN from Lab | Other 44% Ref 22% LD 13% |
| 9 May 2024 | Attenborough & Chilwell East | Lab HOLD | Lab 46% Con 34% Grn 13% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Attenborough & Chilwell East | Labour 44.4%vs Conservative 26.0% | 2023 Labour 51.8%vs Conservative 33.2% | - | 57.5% |
| Awsworth, Cossall & Trowell | Labour 32.5%vs Conservative 30.7% | 2023 Conservative 61.1%vs Labour 21.1% | - | 41.3% |
| Beeston Central | Labour 51.6%vs Reform 15.9% | 2023 Labour 68.2%vs Lib Dem 11.1% | - | 40.6% |
| Beeston North | Labour 43.4%vs Conservative 15.9% | 2023 Lib Dem 57.7%vs Labour 20.0% | - | 54.4% |
| Beeston Rylands | Labour 46.2%vs Conservative 20.9% | 2023 Labour 62.2%vs Conservative 13.8% | - | 48.1% |
| Beeston West | Labour 55.5%vs Conservative 16.7% | 2023 Labour 69.8%vs Lib Dem 13.0% | - | 59.0% |
| Bramcote | Labour 32.5%vs Conservative 28.6% | 2023 Lib Dem 52.8%vs Conservative 25.7% | - | 52.7% |
| Brinsley | Labour 31.4%vs Conservative 23.1% | 2023 Independent 88.1%vs Labour 11.9% | - | 39.8% |
| Chilwell West | Labour 43.9%vs Conservative 23.5% | 2023 Labour 54.3%vs Conservative 25.3% | - | 43.1% |
| Eastwood Hall | Labour 36.1%vs Conservative 23.4% | 2023 Labour 47.5%vs Independent 27.4% | - | 32.2% |
| Eastwood Hilltop | Labour 41.3%vs Reform 21.6% | 2023 Labour 66.8%vs Conservative 23.5% | - | 27.6% |
| Eastwood St Mary's | Labour 41.8%vs Reform 22.0% | 2023 Labour 48.0%vs Independent 36.6% | - | 33.5% |
| Greasley | Labour 34.1%vs Conservative 31.9% | 2023 Conservative 48.5%vs Labour 33.5% | - | 36.0% |
| Stapleford North | Labour 35.9%vs Conservative 22.9% | 2023 Independent 51.3%vs Labour 29.1% | - | 40.5% |
| Stapleford South East | Labour 37.8%vs Conservative 23.3% | 2023 Labour 29.0%vs Lib Dem 24.8% | - | 39.1% |
| Stapleford South West | Labour 44.5%vs Conservative 18.4% | 2023 Labour 80.4%vs Lib Dem 19.6% | - | 26.1% |
| Toton & Chilwell Meadows | Labour 36.0%vs Conservative 27.8% | 2023 Conservative 35.9%vs Labour 34.2% | - | 44.7% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Broxtowe at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Broxtowe at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con gain from Lab | Anna Soubry | 38.3% | 39.0% | 16.9% | 389 | 73.2% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Anna Soubry | 37.2% | 45.2% | 4.0% | 4,287 | 74.5%+1.3 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Anna Soubry | 45.3% | 46.8% | 4.0% | 863 | 75.0%+0.5 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Darren Henry 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 38.0% | 45.2% | 0.5% | 3,819 | 73.6%-1.4 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Juliet Campbell | 40.9% | 23.3% | 8.0% | 8,403 | 67.9%-5.7 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Broxtowe
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Broxtowe. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 70.9vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.5 / 11.0vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 72.7vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.5 / 10.0vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 68.5vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.5 / 12.7vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 70.5vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.5 / 13.2vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied70.0 / 70.9vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent11.5 / 11.9vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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