Constituency profile

Huntingdon

East of England · County constituency · Huntingdonshire borough

Ben Obese-Jecty MP
Sitting MP

Ben Obese-Jecty

Conservative

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
East of England
County constituency, Huntingdonshire council
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCC
Conservative 5/5
EU referendum 2016
53.5% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +1.6pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +3.7pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Conservative projected to lose)
SouthernBrexit-marginal

About the Huntingdon constituency

Huntingdon is a county constituency in the East of England. The sitting MP is Ben Obese-Jecty (Conservative), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 35.1% to 32.2% for Labour, a majority of 1,499 votes on a 65.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 29.6% and the Conservatives on 25.8%, a margin of 3.7 points - a projected change of hands from the Conservatives.

Who lives in Huntingdon? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
53.5%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
34.9%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
15.2%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
68.5%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
30.1%
UK average ~36%
Median age
43.2
UK median ~40
Age 65+
24.2%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
27.0%
UK average ~28%

How did Huntingdon vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 1,499 votes (2.9pp) · turnout 65.8%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Huntingdon

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Huntingdon within Huntingdonshire

Huntingdon sits entirely within Huntingdonshire Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Huntingdonshire
66 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
AlconburyConservative 39.0%vs Labour 31.2%May 2026 Conservative 46.1%vs Reform 27.3%
Conservative share
+7.2pp
48.1%
BramptonLabour 32.4%vs Conservative 29.4%May 2026 Lib Dem 42.3%vs Conservative 23.1%
Labour→Lib Dem
+28.1pp
40.5%
BuckdenLabour 33.9%vs Conservative 32.2%May 2026 Others 38.7%vs Reform 22.3%
Labour→Others
+35.0pp
46.2%
Godmanchester & Hemingford AbbotsLabour 32.8%vs Conservative 32.4%May 2026 Lib Dem 47.5%vs Reform 24.7%
Labour→Lib Dem
+31.1pp
43.4%
Great StaughtonConservative 37.8%vs Labour 31.5%May 2026 Conservative 43.1%vs Reform 27.2%
Conservative share
+5.4pp
50.2%
Hemingford Grey & HoughtonConservative 38.5%vs Labour 27.8%May 2026 Conservative 36.4%vs Lib Dem 29.5%
Conservative share
-2.1pp
45.4%
Holywell-cum-NeedingworthConservative 45.7%vs Labour 28.6%May 2026 Conservative 37.0%vs Reform 25.1%
Conservative share
-8.7pp
45.9%
Huntingdon EastLabour 32.5%vs Conservative 30.7%May 2026 Lib Dem 41.3%vs Reform 26.0%
Labour→Lib Dem
+28.3pp
41.6%
Huntingdon NorthLabour 41.8%vs Conservative 27.7%May 2026 Reform 28.1%vs Labour 24.6%
Labour→Reform
+15.9pp
27.9%
KimboltonConservative 46.1%vs Labour 20.2%May 2026 Conservative 61.3%vs Reform 20.0%
Conservative share
+15.2pp
52.6%
SawtryConservative 40.8%vs Labour 24.6%May 2026 Conservative 59.6%vs Reform 23.3%
Conservative share
+18.8pp
40.8%
SomershamConservative 40.4%vs Labour 30.5%May 2026 Conservative 33.7%vs Reform 29.6%
Conservative share
-6.7pp
40.7%
St Ives EastLabour 36.4%vs Conservative 29.5%May 2026 Reform 26.6%vs Lib Dem 22.6%
Labour→Reform
+19.2pp
40.5%
St Ives SouthLabour 36.8%vs Conservative 29.8%May 2026 Labour 29.8%vs Lib Dem 23.5%
Labour share
-7.0pp
44.5%
St Ives WestLabour 35.0%vs Conservative 33.1%May 2026 Others 53.7%vs Reform 20.5%
Labour→Others
+44.4pp
44.8%
The StukeleysLabour 33.6%vs Conservative 33.0%May 2026 Lib Dem 38.2%vs Conservative 27.1%
Labour→Lib Dem
+28.8pp
41.5%
WarboysConservative 39.3%vs Labour 29.7%May 2026 Conservative 37.9%vs Reform 31.5%
Conservative share
-1.5pp
41.1%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Huntingdon at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Huntingdon at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdJonathan Djanogly11.0%48.9%28.9%6.0% UKIP1.2%4.0%10,81964.9%
2015Con holdJonathan Djanogly18.3%53.0%7.8%16.9% UKIP3.9%-19,40367.7%+2.8
2017Con holdJonathan Djanogly30.9%55.1%8.5%3.7% UKIP1.8%-14,47570.9%+3.2
2019notionalConservative winnerJonathan Djanogly 2019 MP, pre-review boundary20.8%59.2%14.0%-3.5%2.5%21,64574.5%+3.6
2024Con holdBen Obese-Jecty32.2%35.1%9.3%15.4% Ref5.8%2.2%1,49965.8%-8.7

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Huntingdon

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Huntingdon. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.