Chester South and Eddisbury
North West · County constituency
About the Chester South and Eddisbury constituency
Chester South and Eddisbury is a county constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Aphra Brandreth (Conservative), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 37.9% to 32.1% for Labour, a majority of 3,057 votes on a 70.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 31.7% and Labour on 29.5%, a margin of 2.1 points.
Who lives in Chester South and Eddisbury? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Chester South and Eddisbury vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Chester South and Eddisbury
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Chester South and Eddisbury within Cheshire West and Chester and Cheshire East
Chester South and Eddisbury crosses council boundaries: Cheshire West and Chester (78%), Cheshire East (22%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Cheshire West and Chester | 78% |
| Cheshire East | 22% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | Weaver & Cuddington | Ind GAIN from Con | Other 36% Con 26% Ref 20% |
| 11 Jun 2026 | Christleton & Huntington | Con HOLD | Con 33% Grn 30% Ref 17% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audlem | Conservative 39.5%vs Labour 27.7% | 2023 Conservative 64.2%vs Lib Dem 35.8% | - | 37.0% |
| Bunbury | Conservative 37.6%vs Labour 28.9% | 2023 Conservative 51.9%vs Lib Dem 48.1% | - | 36.5% |
| Christleton & Huntington | Labour 37.2%vs Conservative 35.0% | 2023 Conservative 27.4%vs Green 23.8% | - | 47.8% |
| Farndon | Conservative 43.6%vs Labour 21.4% | 2023 Conservative 47.4%vs Lib Dem 46.1% | - | 48.7% |
| Handbridge Park | Labour 43.6%vs Conservative 35.2% | 2023 Labour 47.3%vs Conservative 43.9% | - | 54.0% |
| Lache | Labour 46.2%vs Conservative 29.2% | 2023 Labour 62.4%vs Conservative 28.4% | - | 33.5% |
| Malpas | Conservative 42.8%vs Labour 22.0% | 2023 Conservative 57.0%vs Lib Dem 36.2% | - | 38.9% |
| Tarporley | Conservative 43.1%vs Labour 23.9% | 2023 Conservative 46.0%vs Independent 43.3% | - | 46.6% |
| Tarvin & Kelsall | Conservative 39.7%vs Labour 25.3% | 2023 Conservative 42.8%vs Lib Dem 42.1% | - | 41.0% |
| Tattenhall | Conservative 40.5%vs Labour 34.1% | 2023 Conservative 46.6%vs Labour 35.4% | - | 44.6% |
| Weaver & Cuddington | Labour 34.3%vs Conservative 33.9% | 2023 Conservative 39.4%vs Independent 26.6% | - | 61.1% |
| Wrenbury | Conservative 40.2%vs Labour 29.2% | 2023 Conservative 49.7%vs Lib Dem 35.5% | - | 35.1% |
| Wybunbury | Conservative 45.7%vs Labour 23.8% | 2023 Conservative 70.5%vs Labour 20.2% | - | 37.3% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Chester South and Eddisbury at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Chester South and Eddisbury at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con hold | Stephen O'Brien Eddisbury MP | 21.6% | 51.7% | 22.5% | 13,255 | 63.0% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Antoinette Sandbach Eddisbury MP | 23.6% | 51.0% | 9.1% | 12,974 | 69.1%+6.1 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Antoinette Sandbach Eddisbury MP | 33.6% | 56.9% | 5.5% | 11,942 | 73.0%+3.9 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Edward Timpson Eddisbury MP, pre-review boundary | 21.5% | 59.2% | 15.3% | 20,826 | 76.7% |
| 2024 | Con hold | Aphra Brandreth | 32.1% | 37.9% | 10.3% | 3,057 | 70.7%-6.0 |
Chester South and Eddisbury was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Eddisbury (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Chester South and Eddisbury
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Chester South and Eddisbury. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied75.5 / 76.3vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3522.4 / 21.5vs 30.2
- ↓Social rent9.2 / 9.9vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied75.5 / 72.7vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3522.4 / 23.1vs 30.2
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 13.7vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.5 / 72.4vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3522.4 / 23.2vs 30.2
- ↑Graduate42.9 / 40.6vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied75.5 / 72.9vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3522.4 / 21.2vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+28.9 / 30.6vs 22.7
- ↑Owner-occupied75.5 / 77.5vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3522.4 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↓Social rent9.2 / 7.6vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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