Constituency profile

Wetherby and Easingwold

Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency

Sir Alec Shelbrooke MP
Sitting MP

Sir Alec Shelbrooke

Conservative

First elected May 2010

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Yorkshire and The Humber
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCC
Conservative 5/5
EU referendum 2016
55.5% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +3.6pp above mean
Current outlook
Conservative +16.7pp
vs Reform UK 22.4%
NorthernLeave-leaningGraduate-heavy

About the Wetherby and Easingwold constituency

Wetherby and Easingwold is a county constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Sir Alec Shelbrooke (Conservative), first elected in May 2010. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 39.4% to 30.1% for Labour, a majority of 4,846 votes on a 70.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 39.1% and Reform UK on 22.4%, a margin of 16.7 points.

Who lives in Wetherby and Easingwold? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
55.5%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
40.9%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
13.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
76.3%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
22.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
48.8
UK median ~40
Age 65+
30.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
21.5%
UK average ~28%

How did Wetherby and Easingwold vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 4,846 votes (9.3pp) · turnout 70.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Wetherby and Easingwold

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Wetherby and Easingwold within North Yorkshire and Leeds

Wetherby and Easingwold crosses council boundaries: North Yorkshire (52%), Leeds (48%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
North Yorkshire
28 LSOAs
52%
Leeds
26 LSOAs
48%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Appleton Roebuck & Church FentonConservative 40.5%vs Labour 31.9%2022 Conservative 52.6%vs Labour 33.5%--
Boroughbridge & ClaroConservative 35.5%vs Labour 24.0%2022 Conservative 44.1%vs Independent 27.4%-34.7%
EasingwoldConservative 37.2%vs Labour 33.5%2022 Conservative 52.6%vs Labour 30.2%-24.8%
HarewoodConservative 41.2%vs Labour 30.1%May 2026 Conservative 44.1%vs Reform 24.9%
Conservative share
+2.9pp
51.3%
Hillside & RaskelfConservative 42.3%vs Labour 23.9%2022 Conservative 48.7%vs Independent 22.0%--
Huby & TollertonConservative 39.3%vs Labour 31.7%2022 Conservative 54.9%vs Labour 26.2%--
OuseburnConservative 45.8%vs Labour 25.3%2022 Green 69.4%vs Conservative 30.6%-42.0%
Spofforth with Lower Wharfedale & TockwithConservative 36.3%vs Labour 34.0%2022 Conservative 54.1%vs Green 36.7%-33.8%
TadcasterConservative 35.9%vs Labour 35.6%2022 Independent 56.7%vs Conservative 28.1%-42.1%
Wathvale & Bishop MonktonConservative 39.2%vs Labour 30.9%2022 Conservative 56.8%vs Lib Dem 23.8%-34.0%
WetherbyConservative 39.1%vs Labour 25.7%May 2026 Conservative 43.5%vs Green 30.6%
Conservative share
+4.4pp
51.6%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Wetherby and Easingwold at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Wetherby and Easingwold at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorCon holdNigel Adams Selby and Ainsty MP25.7%49.4%17.7%3.2% UKIP-4.0%12,26571.1%
2015predecessorCon holdNigel Adams Selby and Ainsty MP26.8%52.5%3.6%14.0% UKIP2.8%0.3%13,55769.4%-1.7
2017predecessorCon holdNigel Adams Selby and Ainsty MP34.1%58.7%4.1%3.1% UKIP--13,77273.9%+4.5
2019notionalConservative winnerNigel Adams Selby and Ainsty MP, pre-review boundary18.2%68.2%7.9%-3.9%1.8%27,16476.1%
2024Con holdAlec Shelbrooke30.1%39.4%6.4%13.9% Ref8.7%1.4%4,84670.3%-5.8

Wetherby and Easingwold was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Selby and Ainsty (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Wetherby and Easingwold

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Wetherby and Easingwold. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.