Wells and Mendip Hills
South West · County constituency
About the Wells and Mendip Hills constituency
Wells and Mendip Hills is a county constituency in the South West. The sitting MP is Tessa Munt (Liberal Democrat), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 46.9% to 24.8% for the Conservatives, a majority of 11,121 votes on a 68.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 35.4% and Reform UK on 27.7%, a margin of 7.7 points.
Who lives in Wells and Mendip Hills? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Wells and Mendip Hills vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Wells and Mendip Hills
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Wells and Mendip Hills within Somerset and North Somerset
Wells and Mendip Hills crosses council boundaries: Somerset (69%), North Somerset (31%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Somerset | 69% |
| North Somerset | 31% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2024 | Mendip South | LD HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banwell & Winscombe | Lib Dem 39.8%vs Conservative 26.8% | 2023 Green 40.6%vs Conservative 32.5% | - | 35.8% |
| Blagdon & Churchill | Lib Dem 50.9%vs Conservative 20.9% | 2023 Lib Dem 59.1%vs Conservative 22.3% | - | 37.7% |
| Brent | Lib Dem 34.1%vs Conservative 31.7% | 2022 Conservative 56.8%vs Lib Dem 43.2% | - | 37.3% |
| Cheddar | Lib Dem 48.9%vs Conservative 28.1% | 2022 Lib Dem 44.7%vs Conservative 40.6% | - | 75.5% |
| Congresbury & Puxton | Lib Dem 45.3%vs Conservative 19.4% | 2023 Green 60.0%vs Conservative 16.7% | - | 42.9% |
| Huntspill | Conservative 35.9%vs Lib Dem 20.6% | 2022 Conservative 55.0%vs Lib Dem 30.5% | - | 30.0% |
| King Alfred | Lib Dem 44.1%vs Conservative 28.5% | 2022 Lib Dem 48.6%vs Conservative 43.8% | - | 47.2% |
| Mendip Hills | Lib Dem 41.3%vs Conservative 25.4% | 2022 Lib Dem 49.8%vs Conservative 41.1% | - | 41.0% |
| Mendip South | Lib Dem 42.1%vs Conservative 26.4% | 2022 Lib Dem 52.7%vs Conservative 47.3% | - | 43.3% |
| Mendip West | Lib Dem 49.9%vs Conservative 22.0% | 2022 Lib Dem 64.9%vs Conservative 35.1% | - | 42.7% |
| Shepton Mallet | Lib Dem 47.1%vs Conservative 25.5% | 2022 Lib Dem 39.9%vs Conservative 33.3% | - | 37.8% |
| Wells | Lib Dem 51.3%vs Conservative 21.4% | 2022 Lib Dem 61.5%vs Conservative 26.6% | - | 45.2% |
| Yatton | Lib Dem 45.4%vs Conservative 21.6% | 2023 Conservative 38.9%vs Independent 24.9% | - | 55.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Wells and Mendip Hills at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Wells and Mendip Hills at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | LD gain from Con | Tessa Munt Wells MP | 7.5% | 42.5% | 44.0% | 800 | 70.3% |
| 2015predecessor | Con gain from LD | James Heappey Wells MP | 6.6% | 46.1% | 32.8% | 7,585 | 71.7%+1.4 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | James Heappey Wells MP | 11.7% | 50.1% | 37.6% | 7,582 | 73.8%+2.1 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | James Heappey Wells MP, pre-review boundary | 10.8% | 56.1% | 30.8% | 14,295 | 80.8% |
| 2024 | LD gain from Con | Tessa Munt | 7.0% | 24.8% | 46.9% | 11,121 | 68.5%-12.3 |
Wells and Mendip Hills was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Wells (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Wells and Mendip Hills
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Wells and Mendip Hills. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied75.2 / 76.1vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+31.5 / 30.5vs 22.7
- ↓Social rent9.2 / 9.3vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied75.2 / 76.6vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent9.2 / 7.5vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3522.2 / 23.3vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.2 / 75.6vs 61.9
- ↑Age 65+31.5 / 31.3vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.2 / 22.9vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.2 / 76.4vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3522.2 / 23.7vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+31.5 / 29.1vs 22.7
- ↑Owner-occupied75.2 / 72.9vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3522.2 / 21.2vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+31.5 / 30.6vs 22.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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