Constituency profile

Congleton

North West · County constituency · Cheshire East borough

Sarah Russell MP
Sitting MP

Sarah Russell

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North West
County constituency, Cheshire East council
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCL
Conservative 4/5, Labour 1/5
EU referendum 2016
52.6% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +0.7pp above mean
Current outlook
Labour +3.0pp
vs Conservative 27.0%
NorthernBrexit-marginal

About the Congleton constituency

Congleton is a county constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Sarah Russell (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 37.7% to 30.9% for the Conservatives, a majority of 3,387 votes on a 67.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 30.1% and the Conservatives on 27.0%, a margin of 3.0 points.

Who lives in Congleton? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
52.6%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
37.5%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
14.2%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
76.4%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
22.2%
UK average ~36%
Median age
46.9
UK median ~40
Age 65+
29.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
23.7%
UK average ~28%

How did Congleton vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 3,387 votes (6.8pp) · turnout 67.5%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Congleton

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Congleton within Cheshire East

Congleton sits entirely within Cheshire East Council. Cheshire East was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Cheshire East
52 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
AlsagerLabour 42.1%vs Conservative 27.8%2023 Lib Dem 33.7%vs Labour 29.1%-41.6%
Brereton RuralConservative 35.3%vs Labour 31.2%2023 Conservative 42.1%vs Lib Dem 31.4%-32.7%
Congleton EastLabour 35.3%vs Conservative 29.8%2023 Conservative 34.6%vs Independent 26.3%-48.2%
Congleton WestLabour 37.3%vs Conservative 29.2%2023 Conservative 35.5%vs Independent 26.9%-36.4%
Dane ValleyConservative 41.1%vs Labour 29.3%2023 Conservative 52.5%vs Lib Dem 18.6%-49.3%
Odd RodeLabour 36.1%vs Conservative 31.7%2023 Conservative 56.1%vs Labour 43.9%-30.0%
Sandbach ElworthLabour 42.0%vs Conservative 26.7%2023 Independent 43.0%vs Labour 36.9%-34.3%
Sandbach Ettiley Heath and WheelockLabour 45.9%vs Conservative 25.7%2023 Labour 53.8%vs Conservative 33.5%-30.0%
Sandbach Heath and EastLabour 45.5%vs Conservative 25.3%2023 Labour 40.8%vs Conservative 30.7%-33.4%
Sandbach TownLabour 39.8%vs Conservative 32.0%2023 Conservative 45.6%vs Labour 39.6%-35.8%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Congleton at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Congleton at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdFiona Bruce17.2%45.8%31.9%4.2% UKIP-0.9%7,06370.3%
2015Con holdFiona Bruce20.4%53.3%9.1%13.6% UKIP3.7%-16,77370.3%+0.0
2017Con holdFiona Bruce34.2%56.6%5.2%2.3% UKIP1.8%-12,61973.3%+3.0
2019notionalConservative winnerFiona Bruce 2019 MP, pre-review boundary24.1%60.6%11.1%-2.9%1.3%18,20371.3%-2.0
2024Lab gain from ConSarah Russell37.7%30.9%5.6%16.4% Ref4.0%5.4%3,38767.5%-3.8

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Congleton

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Congleton. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.