Chesterfield
East Midlands · Borough constituency · Chesterfield borough
About the Chesterfield constituency
Chesterfield is a borough constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Mr Toby Perkins (Labour), first elected in May 2010. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 46.5% to 20.4% for the Conservatives, a majority of 10,820 votes on a 58.0% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 38.5% and Reform UK on 28.3%, a margin of 10.2 points.
Who lives in Chesterfield? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Chesterfield vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Chesterfield
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Chesterfield within Chesterfield
Chesterfield sits entirely within Chesterfield Council. Chesterfield was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 May 2025 | Brampton East and Boythorpe | LD GAIN from Lab | LD 35% Ref 30% Lab 20% |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Spire | Lab HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brampton East & Boythorpe | Labour 48.5%vs Conservative 21.0% | 2023 Labour 46.2%vs Lib Dem 45.7% | - | 35.5% |
| Brampton West & Loundsley Green | Labour 44.3%vs Conservative 22.6% | 2023 Lib Dem 45.5%vs Labour 44.3% | - | 45.2% |
| Brimington North | Labour 49.5%vs Reform 19.8% | 2023 Labour 70.5%vs Independent 16.0% | - | 23.8% |
| Brimington South | Labour 47.8%vs Conservative 22.4% | 2023 Labour 49.8%vs Lib Dem 41.6% | - | 34.1% |
| Brockwell | Labour 45.6%vs Conservative 21.1% | 2023 Lib Dem 52.6%vs Labour 33.7% | - | 40.6% |
| Dunston | Labour 47.0%vs Reform 20.4% | 2023 Labour 53.9%vs Lib Dem 19.0% | - | 31.6% |
| Hasland | Labour 48.0%vs Conservative 23.3% | 2023 Labour 43.4%vs Conservative 26.5% | - | 39.6% |
| Linacre | Labour 41.0%vs Conservative 24.8% | 2023 Labour 41.0%vs Conservative 33.4% | - | 41.2% |
| Rother | Labour 46.4%vs Reform 20.9% | 2023 Labour 73.2%vs Lib Dem 20.4% | - | 23.1% |
| Spire | Labour 48.3%vs Reform 19.5% | 2023 Labour 52.1%vs Lib Dem 40.8% | - | 37.3% |
| Staveley Central | Labour 51.1%vs Reform 23.5% | 2023 Labour 54.2%vs Independent 35.7% | - | 21.4% |
| Staveley South | Labour 45.1%vs Reform 21.5% | 2023 Labour 57.0%vs Independent 37.3% | - | 28.6% |
| Walton | Labour 40.5%vs Conservative 27.2% | 2023 Lib Dem 54.8%vs Labour 32.6% | - | 52.2% |
| Whittington | Labour 40.9%vs Reform 20.5% | 2023 Lib Dem 61.1%vs Labour 32.1% | - | 28.8% |
| Whittington Moor | Labour 52.8%vs Reform 19.7% | 2023 Labour 63.3%vs Lib Dem 15.9% | - | 28.8% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Chesterfield at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Chesterfield at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab gain from LD | Toby Perkins | 39.0% | 15.7% | 37.8% | 549 | 63.8% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Toby Perkins | 47.9% | 18.1% | 13.8% | 13,598 | 63.6%-0.2 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Toby Perkins | 54.8% | 34.8% | 5.4% | 9,605 | 66.5%+2.9 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Toby Perkins 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 40.2% | 37.0% | 8.8% | 1,451 | 63.9%-2.6 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Toby Perkins | 46.5% | 20.4% | 6.1% | 10,820 | 58.0%-5.9 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Chesterfield
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Chesterfield. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 26.3vs 33.7
- ↑Leave59.3 / 60.3vs 53.2
- ↑Leave59.3 / 57.6vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 30.2vs 33.7
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 26.9vs 33.7
- ↑Leave59.3 / 58.4vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 28.6vs 33.7
- ↑Leave59.3 / 57.9vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate27.4 / 27.2vs 33.7
- ↑Leave59.3 / 56.0vs 53.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.