Coventry South
West Midlands · Borough constituency · Coventry borough
About the Coventry South constituency
Coventry South is a borough constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Zarah Sultana (Your Party), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 47.6% to 23.8% for the Conservatives, a majority of 10,201 votes on a 56.1% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 40.6% and Reform UK on 24.4%, a margin of 16.2 points.
Who lives in Coventry South? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Coventry South vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Coventry South
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Coventry South within Coventry
Coventry South sits entirely within Coventry Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheylesmore | Labour 45.2%vs Conservative 26.0% | May 2026 Conservative 33.1%vs Reform 23.4% | Labour→Conservative +14.8pp | - |
| Earlsdon | Labour 48.8%vs Conservative 24.4% | May 2026 Labour 35.0%vs Reform 20.2% | Labour share -13.8pp | - |
| Lower Stoke | Labour 52.9%vs Conservative 18.9% | May 2026 Labour 35.9%vs Reform 28.3% | Labour share -17.0pp | - |
| St Michael's | Labour 52.7%vs Conservative 15.6% | May 2026 Labour 35.4%vs Green 33.9% | Labour share -17.3pp | - |
| Wainbody | Labour 41.4%vs Conservative 33.8% | May 2026 Conservative 42.2%vs Green 19.4% | Labour→Conservative +16.0pp | - |
| Westwood | Labour 44.1%vs Conservative 24.3% | 2024 Labour 47.3%vs Conservative 34.5% | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Coventry South at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Coventry South at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Jim Cunningham | 41.8% | 33.4% | 18.0% | 3,845 | 62.4% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Jim Cunningham | 42.3% | 35.0% | 4.1% | 3,188 | 62.1%-0.3 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Jim Cunningham | 55.0% | 38.1% | 2.9% | 7,947 | 66.5%+4.4 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Zarah Sultana 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 44.3% | 42.5% | 6.7% | 808 | 65.9%-0.6 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Zarah Sultana | 47.6% | 23.8% | 5.9% | 10,201 | 56.1%-9.8 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Coventry South
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Coventry South. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Under 3545.4 / 42.4vs 30.2
- ↓Employed49.7 / 48.1vs 57.3
- ↓Age 65+16.1 / 16.9vs 22.7
- ↓Employed49.7 / 50.9vs 57.3
- ↓Owner-occupied56.5 / 56.5vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent27.0 / 24.2vs 20.2
- ↓Employed49.7 / 50.7vs 57.3
- ↑Under 3545.4 / 38.3vs 30.2
- ↓Age 65+16.1 / 18.0vs 22.7
- ↓Age 65+16.1 / 16.4vs 22.7
- ↑Private rent27.0 / 24.2vs 20.2
- ↑Under 3545.4 / 35.5vs 30.2
- ↑Under 3545.4 / 39.5vs 30.2
- ↓Age 65+16.1 / 16.1vs 22.7
- ↑Private rent27.0 / 25.4vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.