Constituency profile

Darlington

North East · County constituency · Darlington borough

Lola McEvoy MP
Sitting MP

Lola McEvoy

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North East
County constituency, Darlington council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLCL
Labour 4/5, Conservative 1/5
EU referendum 2016
58.1% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +6.2pp above mean
Current outlook
Labour +1.9pp
vs Conservative 31.0%
NorthernLeave-leaningWorking-class profile

About the Darlington constituency

Darlington is a county constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Lola McEvoy (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 39.2% to 33.8% for the Conservatives, a majority of 2,298 votes on a 60.0% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 32.9% and the Conservatives on 31.0%, a margin of 1.9 points.

Who lives in Darlington? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
58.1%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
27.9%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
19.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
60.9%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
38.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
42.7
UK median ~40
Age 65+
24.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
28.2%
UK average ~28%

How did Darlington vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from Con · majority 2,298 votes (5.4pp) · turnout 60.0%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Darlington

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Darlington within Darlington

Darlington sits entirely within Darlington Council. Darlington was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Darlington
60 LSOAs
100%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
11 Dec 2025Red Hall & Lingfield
Darlington
Ref GAIN from LabRef 38% Lab 17% Con 17%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Bank Top & LascellesLabour 42.5%vs Conservative 27.4%2023 Labour 55.6%vs Conservative 31.4%-27.1%
Brinkburn & FaverdaleLabour 42.1%vs Conservative 34.0%2023 Labour 47.4%vs Conservative 43.9%-40.2%
CockertonLabour 45.1%vs Conservative 29.7%2023 Labour 50.7%vs Conservative 36.1%-32.2%
CollegeConservative 38.2%vs Labour 27.2%2023 Green 66.7%vs Conservative 24.6%-57.3%
EastbourneLabour 38.6%vs Conservative 33.1%2023 Labour 37.8%vs Independent 32.5%-39.7%
Harrowgate HillLabour 39.6%vs Conservative 32.2%2023 Green 42.4%vs Labour 31.1%-42.1%
Haughton & SpringfieldLabour 44.2%vs Conservative 30.3%2023 Labour 54.2%vs Conservative 37.3%-35.4%
Heighington & ConiscliffeConservative 47.9%vs Labour 27.5%2023 Conservative 53.4%vs Labour 19.1%-47.5%
HummersknottConservative 47.2%vs Labour 23.7%2023 Green 53.9%vs Conservative 41.3%-60.6%
MowdenConservative 43.9%vs Labour 32.6%2023 Conservative 57.4%vs Labour 29.0%-50.8%
North RoadLabour 42.4%vs Conservative 27.3%2023 Lib Dem 40.8%vs Labour 30.4%-27.9%
NorthgateLabour 47.0%vs Conservative 24.5%2023 Labour 55.8%vs Conservative 29.3%-28.7%
Park EastLabour 47.1%vs Conservative 27.7%2023 Labour 54.0%vs Conservative 30.1%-31.5%
Park WestConservative 40.1%vs Labour 33.2%2023 Conservative 43.2%vs Lib Dem 21.3%-54.9%
PierremontLabour 46.8%vs Conservative 28.2%2023 Labour 55.9%vs Conservative 30.3%-40.2%
Red Hall & LingfieldLabour 42.8%vs Conservative 31.4%2023 Labour 53.8%vs Conservative 40.0%-31.6%
StephensonLabour 39.6%vs Conservative 32.8%2023 Labour 50.2%vs Conservative 40.3%-31.4%
WhinfieldConservative 38.2%vs Labour 34.5%2023 Conservative 46.2%vs Green 35.0%-45.1%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Darlington at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Darlington at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdJenny Chapman39.4%31.5%23.4%2.8% UKIP-2.9%3,38862.9%
2015Lab holdJenny Chapman42.9%35.2%4.8%13.1% UKIP3.5%0.5%3,15862.5%-0.4
2017Lab holdJenny Chapman50.6%43.3%2.3%2.6% UKIP1.2%-3,28067.6%+5.1
2019notionalConservative winnerPeter Gibson 2019 MP, pre-review boundary38.9%49.7%4.6%-2.5%4.3%4,96865.7%-1.9
2024Lab gain from ConLola McEvoy39.2%33.8%4.1%16.2% Ref6.7%-2,29860.0%-5.7

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Darlington

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Darlington. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.