Enfield North
London · Borough constituency · Enfield borough
About the Enfield North constituency
Enfield North is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Feryal Clark (Labour), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 49.1% to 19.9% for the Conservatives, a majority of 12,736 votes on a 55.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 41.5% and the Conservatives on 23.7%, a margin of 17.8 points.
Who lives in Enfield North? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Enfield North vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Enfield North
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Enfield North within Enfield
Enfield North sits entirely within Enfield Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Enfield | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brimsdown | Labour 53.2%vs Conservative 16.0% | May 2026 Labour 37.4%vs Conservative 27.0% | Labour share -15.8pp | 25.0% |
| Bullsmoor | Labour 51.6%vs Conservative 17.3% | May 2026 Labour 32.4%vs Conservative 25.1% | Labour share -19.1pp | 39.7% |
| Carterhatch | Labour 54.3%vs Conservative 14.6% | May 2026 Labour 34.0%vs Conservative 25.9% | Labour share -20.3pp | 35.7% |
| Enfield Lock | Labour 52.6%vs Conservative 15.1% | May 2026 Green 29.4%vs Labour 28.6% | Labour→Green +22.5pp | 34.6% |
| Ponders End | Labour 51.9%vs Conservative 15.6% | May 2026 Labour 37.4%vs Green 20.0% | Labour share -14.5pp | 32.3% |
| Ridgeway | Labour 40.8%vs Conservative 31.5% | May 2026 Conservative 54.2%vs Green 17.1% | Labour→Conservative +25.7pp | 54.3% |
| Southbury | Labour 50.6%vs Conservative 18.7% | May 2026 Conservative 34.6%vs Green 24.4% | Labour→Conservative +21.2pp | 43.9% |
| Town | Labour 44.5%vs Conservative 22.2% | May 2026 Conservative 39.4%vs Green 23.9% | Labour→Conservative +23.3pp | 52.5% |
| Whitewebbs | Labour 44.3%vs Conservative 26.0% | May 2026 Conservative 47.8%vs Green 21.8% | Labour→Conservative +25.9pp | 29.9% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Enfield North at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Enfield North at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Nick de Bois | 38.5% | 42.3% | 12.2% | 1,692 | 67.1% |
| 2015 | Lab gain from Con | Joan Ryan | 43.7% | 41.4% | 2.3% | 1,086 | 67.7%+0.6 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Joan Ryan | 58.0% | 36.9% | 2.1% | 10,247 | 71.3%+3.6 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Feryal Clark 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 53.3% | 35.9% | 6.5% | 8,853 | 66.1%-5.2 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Feryal Clark | 49.1% | 19.8% | 5.8% | 12,736 | 55.2%-10.9 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Enfield North
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Enfield North. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied51.0 / 50.0vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent28.0 / 29.7vs 20.2
- ↓Age 65+15.8 / 17.2vs 22.7
- ↓Age 65+15.8 / 18.8vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied51.0 / 58.0vs 61.9
- ↓Owner-occupied51.0 / 53.1vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+15.8 / 14.6vs 22.7
- ↑Private rent28.0 / 27.0vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied51.0 / 52.8vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+15.8 / 17.4vs 22.7
- ↑No quals22.8 / 24.3vs 18.0
- ↓Owner-occupied51.0 / 48.0vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+15.8 / 17.4vs 22.7
- ↑No quals22.8 / 25.5vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.