Constituency profile

Faversham and Mid Kent

South East · County constituency

Helen Whately MP
Sitting MP

Helen Whately

Conservative

First elected May 2015Shadow: Shadow Secretary of State for Work and Pensions

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
South East
County constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCCCC
Conservative 5/5
EU referendum 2016
58.7% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +6.8pp above mean
Current outlook
Reform UK +16.1pp
Vulnerability score 9/10 (Conservative projected to lose)
SouthernLeave-leaning

About the Faversham and Mid Kent constituency

Faversham and Mid Kent is a county constituency in the South East. The sitting MP is Helen Whately (Conservative), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 31.8% to 28.6% for Labour, a majority of 1,469 votes on a 62.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 38.7% and the Conservatives on 22.6%, a margin of 16.1 points - a projected change of hands from the Conservatives.

Who lives in Faversham and Mid Kent? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
58.7%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
29.0%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
18.7%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
69.8%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
28.5%
UK average ~36%
Median age
43.2
UK median ~40
Age 65+
25.3%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
26.4%
UK average ~28%

How did Faversham and Mid Kent vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 1,469 votes (3.2pp) · turnout 62.7%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Faversham and Mid Kent

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Faversham and Mid Kent within Maidstone and Swale

Faversham and Mid Kent crosses council boundaries: Maidstone (61%), Swale (39%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Maidstone
36 LSOAs
61%
Swale
23 LSOAs
39%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
2 Oct 2025Harrietsham Lenham & North Downs
Maidstone
Ref GAIN from IndRef 50% Con 19% Grn 14%
6 Sep 2024Priory
Swale
LD HOLD
21 Dec 2023Abbey
Swale
LD HOLD

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
AbbeyLabour 29.0%vs Conservative 26.4%2023 Lib Dem 61.2%vs Labour 20.4%-36.7%
Bearsted & DownswoodConservative 39.0%vs Labour 24.4%2024 Conservative 43.2%vs Green 33.3%--
Boughton and CourtenayLabour 36.3%vs Conservative 27.4%2023 Green 65.3%vs Conservative 21.4%-40.8%
Boxley DownsConservative 37.5%vs Labour 25.0%2024 Independent 32.5%vs Green 25.6%--
East DownsConservative 35.9%vs Labour 28.1%2023 Green 45.9%vs Conservative 42.2%-41.0%
Harrietsham, Lenham & North DownsConservative 32.8%vs Reform 25.2%2024 Independent 68.4%vs Conservative 19.9%--
Leeds & LangleyConservative 39.4%vs Labour 26.2%2024 Conservative 53.4%vs Green 22.6%--
Park Wood & MangravetLabour 33.9%vs Conservative 25.2%2024 Labour 67.6%vs Conservative 32.4%--
PrioryConservative 27.3%vs Labour 25.5%2023 Lib Dem 54.6%vs Conservative 24.1%-31.3%
ShepwayConservative 33.3%vs Labour 30.3%2024 Labour 41.7%vs Conservative 36.9%--
St Ann'sLabour 35.7%vs Conservative 27.0%2023 Labour 48.0%vs Lib Dem 26.6%-42.5%
Teynham and LynstedConservative 34.6%vs Labour 27.3%2023 Conservative 56.6%vs Green 20.0%-34.5%
WatlingConservative 26.6%vs Labour 26.4%2023 Lib Dem 49.1%vs Conservative 25.6%-35.0%
West DownsLabour 30.5%vs Conservative 29.4%2023 Independent 75.3%vs Conservative 17.8%-38.8%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Faversham and Mid Kent at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Faversham and Mid Kent at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con holdHugh Robertson16.6%56.2%19.6%3.7% UKIP1.9%2.0%17,08867.8%
2015Con holdHelen Whately16.2%54.4%6.6%18.0% UKIP3.9%1.0%16,65265.9%-1.9
2017Con holdHelen Whately26.1%61.1%6.5%3.4% UKIP2.9%-17,41368.9%+3.0
2019notionalConservative winnerHelen Whately 2019 MP, pre-review boundary19.8%62.6%12.5%-4.1%1.0%20,61867.2%-1.7
2024Con holdHelen Whately28.6%31.8%8.9%21.2% Ref9.1%0.4%1,46962.7%-4.5

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Faversham and Mid Kent

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Faversham and Mid Kent. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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