Glasgow West
Scotland · Burgh constituency · Glasgow City
About the Glasgow West constituency
Glasgow West is a burgh constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Patricia Ferguson (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 46.7% to 30.5% for the SNP, a majority of 6,446 votes on a 57.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 33.4% and Labour on 33.0%, a margin of 0.4 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Glasgow West? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Glasgow West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Glasgow West
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Glasgow West voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Glasgow West crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Glasgow Anniesland (82%), Glasgow Kelvin and Maryhill (9%), Glasgow Central (3%), Strathkelvin and Bearsden (2%), Renfrewshire North and Cardonald (2%), Clydebank and Milngavie (2%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Glasgow West's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow Anniesland | 82% | SNP 44.7% | Labour 29.6% | Colm Merrick |
| Glasgow Kelvin and Maryhill | 9% | SNP 32.8% | Green 26.4% | Bob Doris |
| Glasgow Central | 3% | SNP 57.4% | Labour 19.4% | Alison Thewliss |
| Strathkelvin and Bearsden | 2% | Liberal Democrats 39.5% | SNP 33.0% | Adam Harley |
| Renfrewshire North and Cardonald | 2% | SNP 40.9% | Labour 26.9% | Michelle Campbell |
| Clydebank and Milngavie | 2% | SNP 38.6% | Labour 25.2% | Marie McNair |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Glasgow West within Glasgow City
Glasgow West sits entirely within Glasgow City Council. Glasgow City was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Glasgow City | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2024 | Hillhead | Grn GAIN from Lab | Lab 32% Grn 32% SNP 25% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderston / City | Labour 43.4%vs SNP 31.8% | No council data | - | - |
| Drumchapel / Anniesland | Labour 50.9%vs SNP 33.7% | 2022 Labour 38.2%SNP 37.9%, Conservative 9.5%, Green 6.1%, Independent 5.2%, Lib Dem 1.6%, Others 1.5% | - | - |
| Garscadden / Scotstounhill | Labour 49.4%vs SNP 34.5% | 2022 SNP 40.7%Labour 38.7%, Conservative 10.3%, Green 8.2%, Lib Dem 2.0% | - | - |
| Hillhead | Labour 37.0%vs SNP 30.2% | 2022 Green 36.2%SNP 28.6%, Labour 22.1%, Conservative 6.7%, Lib Dem 5.4%, Others 0.9% | - | 37.3% |
| Maryhill / Kelvin | Labour 44.5%vs SNP 36.1% | No council data | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Glasgow West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Glasgow West at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | John Robertson Glasgow North West MP | 54.1% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13,611 | 58.3% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Carol Monaghan Glasgow North West MP | 30.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 54.5% | 10,364 | 64.1%+5.8 |
| 2017predecessor | SNP hold | Carol Monaghan Glasgow North West MP | 35.9% | 18.0% | 3.6% | 42.5% | 2,561 | 60.9%-3.2 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Carol Monaghan Glasgow North West MP, pre-review boundary | 28.0% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 48.6% | 9,728 | 65.2% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Patricia Ferguson | 46.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 30.5% | 6,446 | 57.8%-7.4 |
Glasgow West was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Glasgow North West (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Glasgow West
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Glasgow West. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave26.6 / 28.2vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate54.3 / 53.1vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent31.1 / 25.4vs 16.8
- ↓Leave26.6 / 31.5vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate54.3 / 53.8vs 33.7
- ↑Under 3538.4 / 43.2vs 30.2
- ↓Leave26.6 / 27.9vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate54.3 / 56.6vs 33.7
- ↑Under 3538.4 / 40.3vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied49.0 / 46.1vs 61.9
- ↓Leave26.6 / 39.6vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent31.1 / 27.8vs 16.8
- ↑Graduate54.3 / 56.8vs 33.7
- ↓Leave26.6 / 32.1vs 53.2
- ↑Under 3538.4 / 37.8vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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