Dundee Central
Scotland · Burgh constituency · Dundee City borough
About the Dundee Central constituency
Dundee Central is a burgh constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Chris Law (Scottish National Party), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, the SNP won with 40.0% to 38.3% for Labour, a majority of 675 votes on a 52.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 40.0% and Labour on 24.6%, a margin of 15.4 points.
Who lives in Dundee Central? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Dundee Central vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Dundee Central
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Dundee Central voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Dundee Central crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Dundee City West (79%), Dundee City East (18%), Angus South (2%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Share of Dundee Central | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee City West | 79% | SNP 49.1% | Labour 24.6% | Heather Anderson |
| Dundee City East | 18% | SNP 48.8% | Labour 18.0% | Stephen Gethins |
| Angus South | 2% | SNP 42.3% | Conservative 21.3% | Lloyd Melville |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).
Dundee Central within Dundee City
Dundee Central sits entirely within Dundee City Council. Dundee City was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Dundee City | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2024 | Lochee | SNP GAIN from Lab | — |
| 9 Oct 2024 | Strathmartine | SNP HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coldside | SNP 49.4%vs Labour 35.3% | 2022 SNP 44.5%vs Labour 31.1% | - | 20.6% |
| East End | Labour 43.4%vs SNP 41.0% | 2022 SNP 52.8%vs Labour 26.0% | - | 34.3% |
| Lochee | Labour 50.8%vs SNP 37.0% | 2022 SNP 43.2%vs Labour 35.8% | - | 13.3% |
| Maryfield | SNP 44.6%vs Labour 42.1% | 2022 SNP 47.4%vs Labour 22.6% | - | 33.0% |
| Strathmartine | SNP 41.8%vs Labour 40.1% | 2022 SNP 45.4%vs Labour 22.8% | - | 25.0% |
| West End | SNP 39.8%vs Labour 32.0% | 2022 Lib Dem 40.3%vs SNP 31.3% | - | 32.1% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Dundee Central at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Dundee Central at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Jim McGovern Dundee West MP | 48.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 7,278 | 58.9% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Chris Law Dundee West MP | 23.7% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 17,092 | 67.8%+8.9 |
| 2017predecessor | SNP hold | Chris Law Dundee West MP | 33.1% | 16.2% | 3.1% | 5,262 | 61.7%-6.1 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Chris Law Dundee West MP, pre-review boundary | 23.8% | 11.1% | 5.5% | 15,221 | 62.0% |
| 2024 | SNP hold | Chris Law | 38.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 675 | 52.3%-9.7 |
Dundee Central was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Dundee West (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Dundee Central
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Dundee Central. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied46.1 / 43.3vs 61.9
- ↓Leave39.6 / 40.5vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent27.8 / 27.4vs 16.8
- ↓Leave39.6 / 38.8vs 53.2
- ↑Under 3540.5 / 45.3vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied46.1 / 52.6vs 61.9
- ↓Leave39.6 / 34.8vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied46.1 / 52.0vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent25.1 / 25.2vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied46.1 / 47.9vs 61.9
- ↓Leave39.6 / 31.3vs 53.2
- ↑Under 3540.5 / 43.4vs 30.2
- ↓Leave39.6 / 37.4vs 53.2
- ↑Under 3540.5 / 40.6vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied46.1 / 54.8vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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