Liverpool Wavertree
North West · Borough constituency · Liverpool borough
About the Liverpool Wavertree constituency
Liverpool Wavertree is a borough constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Paula Barker (Labour), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 58.0% to 17.0% for the Greens, a majority of 16,304 votes on a 56.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 54.6% and the Greens on 20.5%, a margin of 34.2 points.
Who lives in Liverpool Wavertree? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Liverpool Wavertree vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Liverpool Wavertree
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Liverpool Wavertree within Liverpool
Liverpool Wavertree sits entirely within Liverpool Council. Liverpool was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Liverpool | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar 2026 | Aigburth | Grn GAIN from LD | Grn 45% LD 37% Lab 10% |
| 17 Jul 2025 | Sefton Park | Grn HOLD | Grn 50% Lab 22% LD 20% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aigburth | Labour 54.4%vs Green 15.6% | 2023 Lib Dem 50.3%vs Labour 31.9% | - | 42.0% |
| Arundel | Labour 57.7%vs Green 13.6% | 2023 Labour 73.4%vs Green 15.8% | - | 26.6% |
| Canning | Labour 57.3%vs Green 20.1% | 2023 Labour 63.8%vs Green 21.2% | - | - |
| Childwall | Labour 60.0%vs Lib Dem 10.3% | 2023 Lib Dem 63.4%vs Labour 26.9% | - | 36.7% |
| Church | Labour 58.0%vs Lib Dem 13.7% | 2023 Lib Dem 55.5%vs Labour 33.6% | - | 43.0% |
| Edge Hill | Labour 60.7%vs Green 12.7% | 2023 Labour 65.7%vs Lib Dem 18.5% | - | 22.1% |
| Greenbank Park | Labour 52.0%vs Green 24.7% | 2023 Green 45.2%vs Labour 36.7% | - | - |
| Kensington & Fairfield | Labour 66.2%vs Green 13.0% | 2023 Labour 71.7%vs Lib Dem 9.2% | - | 33.2% |
| Mossley Hill | Labour 58.6%vs Green 15.2% | 2023 Lib Dem 59.8%vs Labour 24.4% | - | 20.2% |
| Penny Lane | Labour 57.0%vs Lib Dem 11.2% | 2023 Lib Dem 55.1%vs Labour 29.2% | - | - |
| Princes Park | Labour 67.1%vs Green 15.3% | 2023 Labour 70.1%vs Green 20.7% | - | 9.1% |
| Sefton Park | Labour 48.6%vs Green 27.5% | 2023 Green 56.8%vs Labour 33.6% | - | - |
| Smithdown | Labour 61.0%vs Green 17.2% | 2023 Labour 68.9%vs Green 12.8% | - | - |
| St Michaels | Labour 45.4%vs Green 34.0% | 2023 Green 69.8%vs Labour 26.5% | - | 16.8% |
| Wavertree Garden Suburb | Labour 59.0%vs Green 12.7% | 2023 Labour 37.7%vs Lib Dem 34.8% | - | - |
| Wavertree Village | Labour 60.3%vs Green 16.0% | 2023 Lib Dem 40.6%vs Labour 36.9% | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Liverpool Wavertree at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Liverpool Wavertree at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Luciana Berger | 53.1% | 7.5% | 34.2% | 7,167 | 60.6% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Luciana Berger | 69.3% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 24,303 | 66.6%+6.0 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Luciana Berger | 79.6% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 29,466 | 69.9%+3.3 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Paula Barker 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 71.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 31,926 | 72.4%+2.5 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Paula Barker | 58.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 16,304 | 56.4%-16.0 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Liverpool Wavertree
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Liverpool Wavertree. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave31.3 / 37.4vs 53.2
- ↑Under 3543.4 / 40.6vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied47.9 / 54.8vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3543.4 / 45.3vs 30.2
- ↓Leave31.3 / 38.8vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied47.9 / 52.6vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3543.4 / 47.7vs 30.2
- ↑Private rent31.7 / 33.2vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied47.9 / 51.6vs 61.9
- ↓Owner-occupied47.9 / 43.3vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3543.4 / 42.4vs 30.2
- ↓Leave31.3 / 40.5vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied47.9 / 46.1vs 61.9
- ↓Leave31.3 / 39.6vs 53.2
- ↑Under 3543.4 / 40.5vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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