Norwich South
East of England · Borough constituency
About the Norwich South constituency
Norwich South is a borough constituency in the East of England. The sitting MP is Clive Lewis (Labour), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 47.6% to 18.3% for the Greens, a majority of 13,239 votes on a 59.1% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Greens on 32.3% and Labour on 32.0%, a margin of 0.2 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Norwich South? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Norwich South vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Norwich South
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Norwich South within Norwich
Norwich South sits almost entirely within Norwich Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. In addition, the Norfolk County Council election was held on Thursday 7 May 2026; the county-division results covering this seat are shown below. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich | 95% | View projection › |
| South Norfolk | 5% | — |
Norfolk County Council election, Thursday 7 May 2026
The county council is a separate tier of local government from the district council and from Westminster. These are the results for the county divisions covering this seat; vote shares are computed from the declared per-candidate ballots.
| Division | Winner | Top 3 vote shares | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowthorpe | Grn | Grn 35% Ref 32% Lab 23% | 38.2% |
| Costessey | Ref | Ref 33% Independent 23% LD 15% | 44.1% |
| Eaton | LD | LD 42% Grn 20% Ref 16% | 58.8% |
| Lakenham | Grn | Grn 38% Lab 25% Ref 25% | 42.3% |
| Mancroft | Grn | Grn 56% Ref 19% Lab 14% | 40.3% |
| Nelson | Grn | Grn 61% Lab 22% Ref 8% | 58.1% |
| Thorpe Hamlet | Grn | Grn 43% Lab 28% Ref 16% | 45.8% |
| Town Close | Grn | Grn 44% Lab 31% Ref 12% | 52.7% |
| University | Grn | Grn 42% Lab 19% Ref 19% | 41.1% |
| Wensum | Grn | Grn 50% Ref 25% Lab 16% | 38.4% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowthorpe | Labour 51.4%vs Green 14.2% | May 2026 Green 34.6%vs Reform 31.7% | Labour→Green +24.1pp | - |
| Eaton | Labour 39.3%vs Lib Dem 19.3% | May 2026 Lib Dem 45.9%vs Green 19.0% | Labour→Lib Dem +26.9pp | - |
| Lakenham | Labour 51.4%vs Green 13.9% | May 2026 Green 39.2%vs Reform 25.2% | Labour→Green +25.9pp | - |
| Mancroft | Labour 43.9%vs Green 24.3% | May 2026 Green 58.3%vs Reform 18.8% | Labour→Green +32.8pp | - |
| Nelson | Labour 48.0%vs Green 28.5% | May 2026 Green 65.7%vs Labour 18.9% | Labour→Green +33.2pp | - |
| New Costessey | Labour 38.5%vs Conservative 19.6% | 2023 Lib Dem 35.3%vs Labour 29.0% | - | 31.7% |
| Thorpe Hamlet | Labour 44.9%vs Green 22.7% | May 2026 Green 43.1%vs Labour 29.6% | Labour→Green +17.9pp | - |
| Town Close | Labour 52.0%vs Green 15.7% | May 2026 Green 45.8%vs Labour 30.5% | Labour→Green +25.8pp | - |
| University | Labour 52.8%vs Green 15.4% | May 2026 Green 43.0%vs Reform 20.9% | Labour→Green +31.2pp | - |
| Wensum | Labour 50.8%vs Green 18.6% | May 2026 Green 50.5%vs Reform 24.3% | Labour→Green +33.4pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Norwich South at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Norwich South at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | LD gain from Lab | Simon Wright | 28.7% | 22.9% | 29.4% | 310 | 64.6% |
| 2015 | Lab gain from LD | Clive Lewis | 39.3% | 23.5% | 13.6% | 7,654 | 64.7%+0.1 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Clive Lewis | 61.0% | 30.6% | 5.5% | 15,596 | 69.2%+4.5 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Clive Lewis 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 53.5% | 29.0% | 9.5% | 12,583 | 70.0%+0.8 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Clive Lewis | 47.6% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 13,239 | 59.1%-10.9 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Norwich South
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Norwich South. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied43.3 / 46.1vs 61.9
- ↓Leave40.5 / 39.6vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent27.4 / 27.8vs 16.8
- ↓Leave40.5 / 38.8vs 53.2
- ↑Under 3542.4 / 45.3vs 30.2
- ↑Private rent28.4 / 28.0vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied43.3 / 45.7vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3542.4 / 41.3vs 30.2
- ↑Social rent27.4 / 32.0vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied43.3 / 50.4vs 61.9
- ↓Leave40.5 / 43.4vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent27.4 / 26.0vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied43.3 / 47.9vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3542.4 / 43.4vs 30.2
- ↓Leave40.5 / 31.3vs 53.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.