Constituency profile

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven

South East · Borough constituency

Chris Ward MP
Sitting MP

Chris Ward

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
South East
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCLLL
Labour 3/5, Conservative 2/5
EU referendum 2016
34.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -17.1pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +9.3pp
vs Green 21.5%
SouthernStrong Remain area

About the Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven constituency

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven is a borough constituency in the South East. The sitting MP is Chris Ward (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 44.0% to 20.2% for the Conservatives, a majority of 9,663 votes on a 59.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 30.8% and the Greens on 21.5%, a margin of 9.3 points.

Who lives in Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
34.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
34.6%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
17.5%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
52.0%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
46.8%
UK average ~36%
Median age
40.5
UK median ~40
Age 65+
20.9%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
33.7%
UK average ~28%

How did Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 9,663 votes (23.8pp) · turnout 59.2%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven within Brighton and Hove and Lewes

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven crosses council boundaries: Brighton and Hove (75%), Lewes (25%). None of the constituent district councils were in the 2026 election cycle, but the East Sussex County Council election was held on Thursday 7 May 2026; the county-division results covering this seat are shown below. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Brighton and Hove
43 LSOAs
75%
Lewes
14 LSOAs
25%

East Sussex County Council election, Thursday 7 May 2026

The county council is a separate tier of local government from the district council and from Westminster. These are the results for the county divisions covering this seat; vote shares are computed from the declared per-candidate ballots.

DivisionWinnerTop 3 vote sharesTurnout
PeacehavenRefRef 35% Lab 24% Con 19%41.4%
TelscombeRefRef 33% Lab 28% Con 16%45.1%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
19 Sep 2025Queen's Park
Brighton and Hove
Grn GAIN from Lab
9 May 2024Kemptown
Brighton and Hove
Lab GAIN from Ind
9 May 2024Queen's Park
Brighton and Hove
Lab GAIN from Ind

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Coldean & StanmerLabour 38.6%vs Green 37.1%2023 Labour 43.9%vs Green 26.4%--
East Saltdean & Telscombe CliffsLabour 42.5%vs Conservative 22.7%2023 Labour 68.1%vs Lib Dem 13.2%-38.5%
Hanover & Elm GroveGreen 56.5%vs Labour 29.4%2023 Labour 48.1%vs Green 39.7%-52.9%
KemptownLabour 44.0%vs Green 24.0%2023 Labour 50.5%vs Green 23.0%--
Moulsecoomb & BevendeanLabour 43.2%vs Green 24.4%2023 Labour 70.3%vs Green 20.9%-29.7%
Peacehaven EastLabour 41.3%vs Conservative 26.1%2023 Labour 54.5%vs Conservative 34.1%-28.6%
Peacehaven NorthLabour 39.5%vs Conservative 27.7%2023 Labour 51.9%vs Conservative 37.4%-26.8%
Peacehaven WestLabour 42.4%vs Conservative 25.2%2023 Labour 65.7%vs Conservative 20.6%-32.0%
Queen's ParkLabour 44.8%vs Green 26.8%2023 Labour 59.1%vs Green 25.8%-32.6%
Rottingdean & West SaltdeanLabour 43.3%vs Conservative 21.3%2023 Others 46.8%vs Labour 30.9%--
Whitehawk & MarinaLabour 49.2%vs Conservative 19.6%2023 Labour 55.7%vs Conservative 25.7%--
WoodingdeanLabour 42.5%vs Conservative 30.4%2023 Labour 51.4%vs Conservative 42.6%-43.1%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorCon gain from LabSimon Kirby Brighton, Kemptown MP34.9%38.0%18.0%3.2% UKIP5.5%0.5%1,32864.7%
2015predecessorCon holdSimon Kirby Brighton, Kemptown MP39.2%40.7%3.0%9.8% UKIP7.0%0.3%69066.8%+2.1
2017predecessorLab gain from ConLloyd Russell-Moyle Brighton, Kemptown MP58.3%38.3%3.0%--0.4%9,86872.5%+5.7
2019notionalLabour winnerLloyd Russell-Moyle Brighton, Kemptown MP, pre-review boundary51.2%34.4%6.0%-5.7%2.7%8,28070.8%
2024Lab holdChris Ward44.0%20.2%9.7%-19.7%6.4%9,66359.2%-11.6

Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Brighton, Kemptown (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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