Glenrothes and Mid Fife
Scotland · County constituency · Fife
About the Glenrothes and Mid Fife constituency
Glenrothes and Mid Fife is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Richard Baker (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 44.3% to 36.1% for the SNP, a majority of 2,954 votes on a 51.1% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 39.2% and Labour on 23.7%, a margin of 15.6 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Glenrothes and Mid Fife? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Glenrothes and Mid Fife vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Glenrothes and Mid Fife
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Glenrothes and Mid Fife voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Glenrothes and Mid Fife crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Mid Fife and Glenrothes (55%), Cowdenbeath (31%), Kirkcaldy (11%), Fife North East (2%), Perthshire South and Kinross-shire (1%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Glenrothes and Mid Fife's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mid Fife and Glenrothes | 55% | SNP 48.5% | Reform UK 18.8% | Jenny Gilruth |
| Cowdenbeath | 31% | SNP 44.3% | Labour 23.3% | David Barratt |
| Kirkcaldy | 11% | SNP 43.3% | Labour 26.5% | David Torrance |
| Fife North East | 2% | Liberal Democrats 63.7% | SNP 23.5% | Willie Rennie |
| Perthshire South and Kinross-shire | 1% | SNP 40.4% | Conservative 26.5% | Jim Fairlie |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Glenrothes and Mid Fife within Fife
Glenrothes and Mid Fife sits entirely within Fife Council. Fife was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Fife | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | Glenrothes West & Kinglassie | SNP HOLD | - |
| 6 Nov 2025 | Buckhaven Methil & Wemyss Villages | SNP GAIN from Lab | - |
| 24 Apr 2025 | Glenrothes Central and Thornton | SNP HOLD | - |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckhaven, Methil and Wemyss Villages | Labour 49.4%vs SNP 37.7% | 2022 SNP 47.4%Labour 40.3%, Conservative 6.5%, Lib Dem 2.3%, Green 2.2%, Others 1.3% | - | 37.7% |
| Glenrothes Central and Thornton | Labour 41.8%vs SNP 41.0% | 2022 SNP 48.7%Labour 27.9%, Conservative 12.1%, Lib Dem 3.9%, Others 3.7%, Green 3.6% | - | 38.7% |
| Glenrothes North, Leslie and Markinch | Labour 40.5%vs SNP 38.9% | 2022 SNP 44.6%Labour 26.4%, Conservative 18.6%, Lib Dem 5.1%, Green 3.6%, Others 1.7% | - | 43.3% |
| Glenrothes West and Kinglassie | Labour 44.1%vs SNP 39.7% | 2022 SNP 49.5%Labour 32.5%, Conservative 11.6%, Lib Dem 3.8%, Independent 2.6% | - | 38.0% |
| Lochgelly and Cardenden | Labour 52.5%vs SNP 35.6% | No council data | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Glenrothes and Mid Fife at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Glenrothes and Mid Fife at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Lindsay Roy Glenrothes MP | 62.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 21.7% | 16,448 | 59.8% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Peter Grant Glenrothes MP | 30.6% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 59.8% | 13,897 | 68.2%+8.4 |
| 2017predecessor | SNP hold | Peter Grant Glenrothes MP | 34.7% | 19.5% | 3.0% | 42.8% | 3,267 | 60.9%-7.3 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Peter Grant Glenrothes MP, pre-review boundary | 27.4% | 15.3% | 4.4% | 49.5% | 9,352 | 60.6% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Richard Baker | 44.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 36.1% | 2,954 | 51.1%-9.5 |
Glenrothes and Mid Fife was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Glenrothes (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Glenrothes and Mid Fife
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Glenrothes and Mid Fife. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 28.2vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent9.8 / 8.3vs 20.2
- ↓Leave45.4 / 39.8vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 33.5vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent9.8 / 8.1vs 20.2
- ↓Leave45.4 / 38.0vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent9.8 / 8.3vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 25.8vs 16.8
- ↓Leave45.4 / 41.2vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent9.8 / 9.8vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 24.4vs 16.8
- ↓Leave45.4 / 39.5vs 53.2
- ↓Leave45.4 / 41.6vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent9.8 / 13.9vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 22.6vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.