Glenrothes and Mid Fife
Scotland · County constituency · Fife borough
About the Glenrothes and Mid Fife constituency
Glenrothes and Mid Fife is a county constituency in Scotland, covering most or all of Fife. The sitting MP is Richard Baker (Labour), first elected in July 2024.
At the 2024 general election, Labour won Glenrothes and Mid Fife with 44.3% of the vote, ahead of the SNP on 36.1%, a majority of 2,954 votes. Turnout was 51.1%.
If a general election were held today, PollCheck's projection at the current seven-poll average has the SNP on 39.8% and Labour on 27.0% in Glenrothes and Mid Fife, a margin of 12.8 points, a projected change from Labour since 2024. The projection updates automatically as new polls are added.
Demographically, Glenrothes and Mid Fife is closely divided in the 2016 EU referendum (an estimated 45.4% voted Leave in 2016). About 35.9% of residents hold a degree, 59.5% of homes are owner-occupied, and the seat has a median age of about 44 (2021 Census).
Across the last 5 general elections on record, the seat has been won by the SNP 3 times, Labour 2 times (earlier years may be on predecessor boundaries).
Who lives in Glenrothes and Mid Fife? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Glenrothes and Mid Fife vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Glenrothes and Mid Fife
Switch between ward-level 2024 election winners and a demographic view. Ward winners are Britain Elects' / New Statesman modelled estimates with an average ~4pp margin of error per ward. The demographic view splits the seat into small neighbourhoods (around 800 residents each, from Scotland's 2022 Census). Hover any area for detail.
How Glenrothes and Mid Fife voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Glenrothes and Mid Fife crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Mid Fife and Glenrothes (55%), Cowdenbeath (31%), Kirkcaldy (11%), Fife North East (2%), Perthshire South and Kinross-shire (1%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Share of Glenrothes and Mid Fife | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mid Fife and Glenrothes | 55% | SNP 48.5% | Reform UK 18.8% | Jenny Gilruth |
| Cowdenbeath | 31% | SNP 44.3% | Labour 23.3% | David Barratt |
| Kirkcaldy | 11% | SNP 43.3% | Labour 26.5% | David Torrance |
| Fife North East | 2% | Liberal Democrats 63.7% | SNP 23.5% | Willie Rennie |
| Perthshire South and Kinross-shire | 1% | SNP 40.4% | Conservative 26.5% | Jim Fairlie |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).
Glenrothes and Mid Fife within Fife
The Westminster constituency of Glenrothes and Mid Fife sits entirely within Fife Council. Local council elections are a separate ballot from Westminster general elections - English councils rotate their election cycles and Fife was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below show the most recent council ward results available.
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Fife | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | Glenrothes West & Kinglassie | SNP HOLD | Lab 44% Ref 27% Con 16% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | Buckhaven Methil & Wemyss Villages | SNP GAIN from Lab | Lab 43% Ref 29% Con 21% |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Glenrothes Central and Thornton | SNP HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward. Where the council held a May 2026 election, those results are shown; otherwise we show the most recent available ward result (via DCLEAPIL, 2014-2024), or, where the seat was uncontested at the last election, the current sitting councillor from OpenCouncilData. The "Shift since GE2024" column is only computed for May 2026 results - earlier council votes pre-date the GE, so no directional shift is shown.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Glenrothes and Mid Fife at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Glenrothes and Mid Fife at past general elections?
2024 result is on current boundaries. The 2019 row is the UK Parliament's notional recalculation onto the 2024 boundaries (directly comparable to 2024). The 2010, 2015 and 2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time and aren't directly comparable.
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Lindsay Roy Glenrothes MP | 62.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 16,448 | 59.8% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Peter Grant Glenrothes MP | 30.6% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 13,897 | 68.2%+8.4 |
| 2017predecessor | SNP hold | Peter Grant Glenrothes MP | 34.7% | 19.5% | 3.0% | 3,267 | 60.9%-7.3 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Peter Grant Glenrothes MP, pre-review boundary | 27.4% | 15.3% | 4.4% | 9,352 | 60.6% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Richard Baker | 44.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2,954 | 51.1%-9.5 |
Glenrothes and Mid Fife was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Glenrothes (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Glenrothes and Mid Fife
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Glenrothes and Mid Fife. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 28.2vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent9.8 / 8.3vs 20.2
- ↓Leave45.4 / 39.8vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 33.5vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent9.8 / 8.1vs 20.2
- ↓Leave45.4 / 38.0vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent9.8 / 8.3vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 25.8vs 16.8
- ↓Leave45.4 / 41.2vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent9.8 / 9.8vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 24.4vs 16.8
- ↓Leave45.4 / 39.5vs 53.2
- ↓Leave45.4 / 41.6vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent9.8 / 13.9vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 22.6vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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