Liverpool Garston
North West · Borough constituency · Liverpool borough
About the Liverpool Garston constituency
Liverpool Garston is a borough constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Maria Eagle (Labour), first elected in May 1997. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 58.4% to 10.5% for Reform UK, a majority of 20,104 votes on a 60.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 55.2% and Reform UK on 18.2%, a margin of 37.0 points.
Who lives in Liverpool Garston? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Liverpool Garston vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Liverpool Garston
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Liverpool Garston within Liverpool
Liverpool Garston sits entirely within Liverpool Council. Liverpool was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Liverpool | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2025 | Much Woolton & Hunts Cross | LD HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allerton | Labour 54.3%vs Lib Dem 11.2% | 2023 Lib Dem 62.0%vs Labour 24.1% | - | 43.0% |
| Belle Vale | Labour 68.7%vs Reform 10.1% | 2023 Labour 73.0%vs Independent 14.0% | - | 21.4% |
| Calderstones | Labour 51.1%vs Lib Dem 13.5% | 2023 Lib Dem 66.7%vs Labour 19.9% | - | 44.7% |
| Childwall | Labour 60.0%vs Lib Dem 10.3% | 2023 Lib Dem 63.4%vs Labour 26.9% | - | 36.7% |
| Church | Labour 58.0%vs Lib Dem 13.7% | 2023 Lib Dem 55.5%vs Labour 33.6% | - | 43.0% |
| Garston | Labour 51.8%vs Others 15.1% | 2023 Others 46.6%vs Labour 32.9% | - | - |
| Gateacre | Labour 54.9%vs Reform 11.1% | 2023 Lib Dem 56.4%vs Labour 30.9% | - | 34.3% |
| Grassendale & Cressington | Labour 55.9%vs Lib Dem 10.5% | 2023 Lib Dem 56.1%vs Labour 29.7% | - | 41.2% |
| Much Woolton & Hunts Cross | Labour 55.8%vs Reform 10.9% | 2023 Lib Dem 58.1%vs Labour 32.8% | - | - |
| Penny Lane | Labour 57.0%vs Lib Dem 11.2% | 2023 Lib Dem 55.1%vs Labour 29.2% | - | - |
| Speke | Labour 60.0%vs Reform 11.6% | 2023 Labour 71.5%vs Others 10.1% | - | - |
| Springwood | Labour 67.2%vs Reform 9.9% | 2023 Labour 57.2%vs Lib Dem 29.3% | - | - |
| Woolton Village | Labour 53.0%vs Reform 11.7% | 2023 Lib Dem 56.4%vs Labour 26.6% | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Liverpool Garston at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Liverpool Garston at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Maria Eagle Garston and Halewood MP | 59.5% | 16.1% | 20.1% | 16,877 | 60.1% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Maria Eagle Garston and Halewood MP | 69.1% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 27,146 | 66.4%+6.3 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Maria Eagle Garston and Halewood MP | 77.7% | 17.7% | 3.2% | 32,149 | 71.1%+4.7 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Maria Eagle Garston and Halewood MP, pre-review boundary | 70.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 28,728 | 69.8% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Maria Eagle | 58.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 20,104 | 60.6%-9.2 |
Liverpool Garston was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Garston and Halewood (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Liverpool Garston
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Liverpool Garston. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave41.6 / 39.5vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent22.6 / 24.4vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent13.9 / 9.8vs 20.2
- ↓Leave41.6 / 41.2vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent22.6 / 25.8vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent13.9 / 8.3vs 20.2
- ↓Leave41.6 / 36.8vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent13.9 / 10.2vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent22.6 / 21.4vs 16.8
- ↓Leave41.6 / 42.1vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent22.6 / 25.5vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent13.9 / 8.7vs 20.2
- ↓Leave41.6 / 43.4vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent22.6 / 22.7vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent13.9 / 11.1vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.