Hamilton and Clyde Valley
Scotland · County constituency · South Lanarkshire borough
About the Hamilton and Clyde Valley constituency
Hamilton and Clyde Valley is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Imogen Walker (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 50.0% to 27.4% for the SNP, a majority of 9,472 votes on a 55.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 36.1% and the SNP on 29.1%, a margin of 7.1 points.
Who lives in Hamilton and Clyde Valley? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Hamilton and Clyde Valley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Hamilton and Clyde Valley
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Hamilton and Clyde Valley voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Hamilton and Clyde Valley crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Clydesdale (62%), Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse (34%), Uddingston and Bellshill (1%), Motherwell and Wishaw (1%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Share of Hamilton and Clyde Valley | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clydesdale | 62% | SNP 36.3% | Labour 24.1% | Màiri McAllan |
| Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse | 34% | SNP 37.8% | Labour 29.2% | Alex Kerr |
| Uddingston and Bellshill | 1% | SNP 40.9% | Labour 30.2% | Steven Bonnar |
| Motherwell and Wishaw | 1% | SNP 43.7% | Labour 23.6% | Clare Adamson |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).
Hamilton and Clyde Valley within South Lanarkshire
Hamilton and Clyde Valley sits entirely within South Lanarkshire Council. South Lanarkshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| South Lanarkshire | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2026 | Larkhall | Ref GAIN from Lab | Ref 35% SNP 30% Lab 24% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blantyre | Labour 58.4%vs SNP 30.8% | 2022 Labour 44.8%vs SNP 42.1% | - | 15.8% |
| Clydesdale North | Labour 50.2%vs SNP 27.1% | 2022 Labour 33.8%vs SNP 33.4% | - | 47.8% |
| Clydesdale South | Labour 43.8%vs SNP 29.7% | 2022 SNP 33.5%vs Labour 25.9% | - | 32.6% |
| Clydesdale West | Labour 55.5%vs SNP 28.7% | 2022 Labour 38.2%vs SNP 32.7% | - | 47.1% |
| Hamilton North and East | Labour 50.7%vs SNP 30.8% | 2022 SNP 40.9%vs Labour 32.4% | - | 39.5% |
| Hamilton South | Labour 56.1%vs SNP 27.5% | 2022 Labour 45.4%vs SNP 41.4% | - | 44.2% |
| Hamilton West and Earnock | Labour 50.1%vs SNP 31.7% | 2022 SNP 41.4%vs Labour 30.7% | - | 38.6% |
| Larkhall | Labour 53.4%vs SNP 25.8% | 2022 Labour 33.0%vs SNP 28.9% | - | 21.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Hamilton and Clyde Valley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Hamilton and Clyde Valley at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Jim Hood Lanark and Hamilton East MP | 50.0% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 13,478 | 62.3% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Angela Crawley Lanark and Hamilton East MP | 30.5% | 15.9% | 2.2% | 10,100 | 69.1%+6.8 |
| 2017predecessor | SNP hold | Angela Crawley Lanark and Hamilton East MP | 31.9% | 32.1% | 2.4% | 266 | 65.3%-3.8 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Angela Crawley Lanark and Hamilton East MP, pre-review boundary | 27.1% | 25.5% | 3.8% | 7,758 | 63.6% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Imogen Walker | 49.9% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 9,472 | 55.8%-7.8 |
Hamilton and Clyde Valley was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Lanark and Hamilton East (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Hamilton and Clyde Valley
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Hamilton and Clyde Valley. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave36.8 / 36.6vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.2 / 9.3vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate40.3 / 42.0vs 33.7
- ↓Leave36.8 / 36.8vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.2 / 9.0vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate40.3 / 43.1vs 33.7
- ↓Leave36.8 / 39.5vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.2 / 9.8vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate40.3 / 40.2vs 33.7
- ↓Leave36.8 / 35.5vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.2 / 10.2vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate40.3 / 42.8vs 33.7
- ↓Leave36.8 / 34.8vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.2 / 11.8vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate40.3 / 43.0vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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