Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West
Scotland · County constituency
About the Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West constituency
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Martin McCluskey (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 46.9% to 31.1% for the SNP, a majority of 6,371 votes on a 57.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 36.7% and Labour on 31.4%, a margin of 5.3 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Inverclyde (81%), Renfrewshire West and Levern Valley (17%), Cunninghame North (1%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inverclyde | 81% | SNP 44.3% | Labour 27.7% | Stuart McMillan |
| Renfrewshire West and Levern Valley | 17% | SNP 40.4% | Labour 30.8% | Tom Arthur |
| Cunninghame North | 1% | SNP 39.2% | Labour 20.0% | Kenneth Gibson |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West within Inverclyde and Renfrewshire
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West crosses council boundaries: Inverclyde (88%), Renfrewshire (12%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Inverclyde | 88% |
| Renfrewshire | 12% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | Inverclyde West | Lab HOLD | Lab 34% SNP 34% Con 15% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishopton, Bridge of Weir and Langbank | Labour 41.7%vs SNP 32.0% | 2022 SNP 36.3%Conservative 34.4%, Labour 23.4%, Lib Dem 6.0% | - | 39.9% |
| Houston, Crosslee and Linwood | Labour 48.2%vs SNP 29.8% | 2022 SNP 39.1%Labour 37.1%, Conservative 23.8% | - | 44.0% |
| Inverclyde East | Labour 48.9%vs SNP 31.8% | 2017 Conservative 40.0%SNP 27.0%, Labour 21.6%, Independent 8.1%, Lib Dem 3.4% | - | 52.0% |
| Inverclyde East Central | Labour 47.8%vs SNP 34.9% | 2022 SNP 41.9%Labour 31.5%, Independent 16.8%, Conservative 8.6%, Others 1.2% | - | 32.2% |
| Inverclyde North | Labour 51.2%vs SNP 30.2% | 2022 Labour 35.9%SNP 34.3%, Conservative 15.1%, Lib Dem 6.2%, Independent 5.7%, Others 2.9% | - | 25.4% |
| Inverclyde South | Labour 46.6%vs SNP 36.5% | 2022 SNP 42.2%Labour 28.2%, Independent 23.1%, Conservative 6.5% | - | 40.1% |
| Inverclyde South West | Labour 45.8%vs SNP 36.6% | 2022 SNP 44.6%Labour 28.9%, Conservative 12.5%, Independent 7.8%, Lib Dem 6.2% | - | 42.6% |
| Inverclyde West | Labour 50.7%vs SNP 31.2% | 2022 Independent 31.6%SNP 26.6%, Labour 26.1%, Conservative 9.5%, Lib Dem 3.6%, Others 2.6% | - | 54.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West at past elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | David Cairns Inverclyde MP | 56.0% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 14,416 | 63.4% |
| 2011by-election | Lab hold | Iain McKenzie Inverclyde MP | 53.8% | 9.9% | 2.2% | 33.0% | 5,838 | 45.4% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Ronnie Cowan Inverclyde MP | 30.3% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 55.1% | 11,063 | 75.2%+11.8 |
| 2017predecessor | SNP hold | Ronnie Cowan Inverclyde MP | 37.5% | 21.5% | 2.5% | 38.5% | 384 | 66.4%-8.8 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Ronnie Cowan Inverclyde MP, pre-review boundary | 28.2% | 17.9% | 6.4% | 47.5% | 8,933 | 65.8% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Martin McCluskey | 46.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 31.1% | 6,371 | 57.5%-8.3 |
Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Inverclyde (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures. By-elections are on the boundaries in force at the time and usually have much lower turnout than a general election.
Constituencies most like Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave35.5 / 39.5vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.2 / 9.8vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate42.8 / 40.2vs 33.7
- ↓Leave35.5 / 41.6vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.2 / 9.9vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate42.8 / 42.3vs 33.7
- ↓Leave35.5 / 36.8vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.2 / 10.2vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate42.8 / 40.3vs 33.7
- ↓Leave35.5 / 36.6vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.2 / 9.3vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate42.8 / 42.0vs 33.7
- ↓Leave35.5 / 36.8vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.2 / 9.0vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate42.8 / 43.1vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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