Hornsey and Friern Barnet
London · Borough constituency
About the Hornsey and Friern Barnet constituency
Hornsey and Friern Barnet is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Catherine West (Labour), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 58.7% to 14.5% for the Greens, a majority of 21,475 votes on a 69.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 51.8% and the Greens on 15.2%, a margin of 36.7 points.
Who lives in Hornsey and Friern Barnet? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Hornsey and Friern Barnet vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Hornsey and Friern Barnet
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Hornsey and Friern Barnet within Haringey and Barnet
Hornsey and Friern Barnet crosses council boundaries: Haringey (82%), Barnet (18%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Haringey | 82% | View projection › |
| Barnet | 18% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Park | Labour 58.4%vs Lib Dem 15.6% | May 2026 Labour 29.7%vs Lib Dem 25.8% | Labour share -28.7pp | 60.4% |
| Crouch End | Labour 58.3%vs Green 15.0% | May 2026 Lib Dem 36.8%vs Labour 29.0% | Labour→Lib Dem +25.9pp | 54.3% |
| Fortis Green | Labour 56.8%vs Lib Dem 15.5% | May 2026 Labour 33.2%vs Lib Dem 32.8% | Labour share -23.6pp | 53.6% |
| Friern Barnet | Labour 55.0%vs Green 16.0% | May 2026 Labour 35.6%vs Green 28.8% | Labour share -19.4pp | 41.1% |
| Harringay | Labour 59.4%vs Green 15.4% | May 2026 Green 52.4%vs Labour 31.4% | Labour→Green +32.5pp | 46.9% |
| Hornsey | Labour 63.8%vs Green 12.4% | May 2026 Labour 41.0%vs Green 37.5% | Labour share -22.8pp | 50.2% |
| Muswell Hill | Labour 55.9%vs Lib Dem 16.0% | May 2026 Lib Dem 38.0%vs Labour 29.3% | Labour→Lib Dem +24.3pp | 55.7% |
| Stroud Green | Labour 61.4%vs Green 15.6% | May 2026 Green 41.2%vs Lib Dem 26.6% | Labour→Green +30.9pp | 55.3% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Hornsey and Friern Barnet at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Hornsey and Friern Barnet at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | LD hold | Lynne Featherstone Hornsey and Wood Green MP | 34.0% | 16.7% | 46.5% | 6,875 | 69.9% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab gain from LD | Catherine West Hornsey and Wood Green MP | 50.9% | 9.3% | 31.8% | 11,058 | 72.9%+3.0 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Catherine West Hornsey and Wood Green MP | 65.4% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 30,738 | 77.9%+5.0 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Catherine West Hornsey and Wood Green MP, pre-review boundary | 57.3% | 11.8% | 25.6% | 16,607 | 74.4% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Catherine West | 58.7% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 21,475 | 69.6%-4.8 |
Hornsey and Friern Barnet was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Hornsey and Wood Green (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Hornsey and Friern Barnet
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Hornsey and Friern Barnet. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate60.3 / 61.0vs 33.7
- ↓Leave30.2 / 27.8vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent33.7 / 34.8vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate60.3 / 61.8vs 33.7
- ↓Leave30.2 / 25.6vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent33.7 / 36.0vs 20.2
- ↓Leave30.2 / 31.1vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate60.3 / 53.0vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent33.7 / 38.3vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate60.3 / 64.1vs 33.7
- ↓Leave30.2 / 28.7vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent33.7 / 27.6vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate60.3 / 60.5vs 33.7
- ↓Leave30.2 / 29.4vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent33.7 / 29.5vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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