Wimbledon
London · Borough constituency
About the Wimbledon constituency
Wimbledon is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Mr Paul Kohler (Liberal Democrat), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 45.1% to 22.1% for the Conservatives, a majority of 12,610 votes on a 72.0% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 39.9% and the Conservatives on 24.1%, a margin of 15.7 points.
Who lives in Wimbledon? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Wimbledon vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Wimbledon
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Wimbledon within Merton and Kingston upon Thames
Wimbledon crosses council boundaries: Merton (82%), Kingston upon Thames (18%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Merton | 82% | View projection › |
| Kingston upon Thames | 18% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey | Lib Dem 41.7%vs Labour 28.5% | May 2026 Lib Dem 43.0%vs Labour 24.1% | Lib Dem share +1.2pp | - |
| Green Lane & St James | Lib Dem 48.0%vs Conservative 15.5% | May 2026 Others 46.0%vs Lib Dem 35.5% | Lib Dem→Others +29.2pp | - |
| Hillside | Lib Dem 42.9%vs Conservative 23.2% | May 2026 Lib Dem 40.9%vs Conservative 34.2% | Lib Dem share -2.0pp | - |
| Merton Park | Lib Dem 36.9%vs Labour 26.7% | May 2026 Others 59.0%vs Lib Dem 11.0% | Lib Dem→Others +42.4pp | - |
| Motspur Park & Old Malden East | Lib Dem 47.2%vs Conservative 25.0% | May 2026 Lib Dem 43.1%vs Conservative 27.1% | Lib Dem share -4.0pp | - |
| New Malden Village | Lib Dem 48.0%vs Conservative 15.7% | May 2026 Lib Dem 40.2%vs Others 26.9% | Lib Dem share -7.8pp | - |
| Old Malden | Lib Dem 48.2%vs Conservative 24.8% | May 2026 Lib Dem 50.3%vs Conservative 18.2% | Lib Dem share +2.1pp | - |
| Raynes Park | Lib Dem 46.3%vs Conservative 21.8% | May 2026 Lib Dem 50.6%vs Conservative 15.8% | Lib Dem share +4.3pp | - |
| Village | Lib Dem 41.0%vs Conservative 29.5% | May 2026 Conservative 45.2%vs Lib Dem 35.1% | Lib Dem→Conservative +10.8pp | - |
| Wandle | Lib Dem 42.5%vs Labour 27.6% | May 2026 Labour 41.7%vs Lib Dem 34.6% | Lib Dem→Labour +11.0pp | - |
| West Barnes | Lib Dem 46.7%vs Conservative 22.2% | May 2026 Lib Dem 45.0%vs Conservative 17.4% | Lib Dem share -1.8pp | - |
| Wimbledon Park | Lib Dem 44.6%vs Labour 22.8% | May 2026 Lib Dem 52.2%vs Conservative 16.2% | Lib Dem share +7.6pp | - |
| Wimbledon Town & Dundonald | Lib Dem 52.4%vs Conservative 18.9% | May 2026 Lib Dem 57.7%vs Labour 14.6% | Lib Dem share +5.3pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Wimbledon at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Wimbledon at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Stephen Hammond | 22.3% | 49.1% | 25.0% | 11,408 | 72.1% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Stephen Hammond | 26.0% | 52.1% | 12.7% | 12,619 | 73.5%+1.4 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Stephen Hammond | 35.6% | 46.5% | 14.5% | 5,622 | 77.2%+3.7 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Stephen Hammond 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 20.8% | 39.8% | 38.3% | 839 | 76.2%-1.0 |
| 2024 | LD gain from Con | Paul Kohler | 21.3% | 22.2% | 45.1% | 12,610 | 72.0%-4.2 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Wimbledon
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Wimbledon. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate60.5 / 64.1vs 33.7
- ↓Leave29.4 / 28.7vs 53.2
- ↓No quals9.9 / 8.2vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate60.5 / 49.4vs 33.7
- ↓Leave29.4 / 40.8vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent29.5 / 28.3vs 20.2
- ↓Leave29.4 / 31.1vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate60.5 / 53.0vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent29.5 / 38.3vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate60.5 / 58.1vs 33.7
- ↓Leave29.4 / 33.3vs 53.2
- ↓No quals9.9 / 9.5vs 18.0
- ↑Graduate60.5 / 60.3vs 33.7
- ↓Leave29.4 / 30.2vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent29.5 / 33.7vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.