Finchley and Golders Green
London · Borough constituency · Barnet borough
About the Finchley and Golders Green constituency
Finchley and Golders Green is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Sarah Sackman (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 44.3% to 35.0% for the Conservatives, a majority of 4,581 votes on a 63.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 35.9% and the Conservatives on 33.9%, a margin of 2.0 points.
Who lives in Finchley and Golders Green? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Finchley and Golders Green vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Finchley and Golders Green
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Finchley and Golders Green within Barnet
Finchley and Golders Green sits entirely within Barnet Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Barnet | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Childs Hill | Labour 44.9%vs Conservative 35.0% | May 2026 Conservative 41.8%vs Labour 24.6% | Labour→Conservative +13.5pp | 41.9% |
| Cricklewood | Labour 53.8%vs Conservative 26.5% | May 2026 Labour 40.8%vs Green 24.0% | Labour share -12.9pp | 31.1% |
| East Finchley | Labour 56.0%vs Conservative 23.9% | May 2026 Labour 46.8%vs Green 21.1% | Labour share -9.2pp | 46.1% |
| Finchley Church End | Conservative 40.8%vs Labour 37.2% | May 2026 Conservative 48.0%vs Labour 20.0% | Conservative share +7.2pp | 46.3% |
| Garden Suburb | Conservative 45.2%vs Labour 36.0% | May 2026 Conservative 58.0%vs Labour 14.5% | Conservative share +12.8pp | 51.9% |
| Golders Green | Conservative 49.8%vs Labour 33.5% | May 2026 Conservative 66.6%vs Labour 10.9% | Conservative share +16.8pp | 42.8% |
| West Finchley | Labour 45.3%vs Conservative 29.2% | May 2026 Labour 37.1%vs Conservative 22.8% | Labour share -8.2pp | 45.6% |
| Woodhouse | Labour 49.1%vs Conservative 31.6% | May 2026 Green 30.8%vs Labour 29.6% | Labour→Green +22.1pp | 45.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Finchley and Golders Green at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Finchley and Golders Green at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Mike Freer | 33.7% | 46.0% | 17.0% | 5,809 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Mike Freer | 39.7% | 50.9% | 3.3% | 5,662 | 70.0%+3.3 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Mike Freer | 43.8% | 47.0% | 6.6% | 1,657 | 71.4%+1.4 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Mike Freer 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 24.4% | 43.8% | 31.8% | 6,629 | 73.1%+1.7 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Sarah Sackman | 44.3% | 35.1% | 6.8% | 4,581 | 63.6%-9.5 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Finchley and Golders Green
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Finchley and Golders Green. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave31.1 / 30.2vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate53.0 / 60.3vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent38.3 / 33.7vs 20.2
- ↓Leave31.1 / 29.4vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate53.0 / 60.5vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent38.3 / 29.5vs 20.2
- ↓Leave31.1 / 36.3vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied50.1 / 47.3vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent38.3 / 32.4vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate53.0 / 49.4vs 33.7
- ↓Leave31.1 / 40.8vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent38.3 / 28.3vs 20.2
- ↓Leave31.1 / 31.6vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate53.0 / 54.5vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent38.3 / 34.0vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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