Mid Cheshire
North West · County constituency
About the Mid Cheshire constituency
Mid Cheshire is a county constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Andrew Cooper (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 44.5% to 23.0% for the Conservatives, a majority of 8,927 votes on a 59.0% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 36.1% and Reform UK on 30.1%, a margin of 6.0 points.
Who lives in Mid Cheshire? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Mid Cheshire vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Mid Cheshire
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Mid Cheshire within Cheshire West and Chester and Cheshire East
Mid Cheshire crosses council boundaries: Cheshire West and Chester (84%), Cheshire East (16%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Cheshire West and Chester | 84% |
| Cheshire East | 16% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2024 | Northwich Leftwich | Lab HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davenham, Moulton & Kingsmead | Labour 39.3%vs Conservative 30.2% | 2023 Conservative 51.6%vs Labour 20.3% | - | 39.5% |
| Hartford & Greenbank | Labour 41.2%vs Conservative 32.6% | 2023 Conservative 49.8%vs Labour 32.2% | - | 39.1% |
| Middlewich | Labour 45.0%vs Conservative 21.1% | 2023 Labour 38.5%vs Conservative 27.0% | - | 32.7% |
| Northwich Leftwich | Labour 52.7%vs Conservative 20.7% | 2023 Labour 59.2%vs Conservative 29.9% | - | 28.8% |
| Northwich Winnington & Castle | Labour 45.0%vs Conservative 20.2% | 2023 Labour 49.8%vs Lib Dem 33.7% | - | 31.0% |
| Northwich Witton | Labour 49.4%vs Reform 19.4% | 2023 Labour 68.5%vs Conservative 22.4% | - | 23.9% |
| Rudheath | Labour 43.1%vs Conservative 25.8% | 2023 Labour 48.0%vs Conservative 45.4% | - | 27.6% |
| Winsford Dene | Labour 46.4%vs Reform 21.5% | 2023 Independent 46.0%vs Labour 36.2% | - | 28.9% |
| Winsford Gravel | Labour 46.7%vs Reform 20.7% | 2023 Independent 45.0%vs Labour 38.8% | - | 30.5% |
| Winsford Over & Verdin | Labour 44.1%vs Reform 21.6% | 2023 Labour 34.8%vs Independent 29.5% | - | 28.1% |
| Winsford Swanlow | Labour 42.0%vs Conservative 20.6% | 2023 Independent 37.8%vs Labour 25.5% | - | 37.5% |
| Winsford Wharton | Labour 49.7%vs Reform 21.6% | 2023 Labour 46.9%vs Independent 36.4% | - | 26.9% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Mid Cheshire at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Mid Cheshire at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con hold | Stephen O'Brien Eddisbury MP | 21.6% | 51.7% | 22.5% | 13,255 | 63.0% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Antoinette Sandbach Eddisbury MP | 23.6% | 51.0% | 9.1% | 12,974 | 69.1%+6.1 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Antoinette Sandbach Eddisbury MP | 33.6% | 56.9% | 5.5% | 11,942 | 73.0%+3.9 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Edward Timpson Eddisbury MP, pre-review boundary | 41.6% | 46.9% | 8.4% | 2,494 | 67.2% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Andrew Cooper | 44.5% | 23.0% | 5.9% | 8,927 | 59.0%-8.2 |
Mid Cheshire was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Eddisbury (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Mid Cheshire
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Mid Cheshire. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied67.4 / 67.5vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent15.2 / 16.4vs 20.2
- ↓Private rent15.2 / 14.9vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied67.4 / 66.3vs 61.9
- ↑Owner-occupied67.4 / 71.1vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent15.2 / 15.8vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied67.4 / 66.4vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent15.2 / 17.3vs 20.2
- ↓Private rent15.2 / 14.4vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied67.4 / 70.7vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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