Chorley
North West · County constituency · Chorley
About the Chorley constituency
Chorley is a county constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Sir Lindsay Hoyle (Speaker), MP since May 1997. At the 2024 general election, Lindsay Hoyle (Speaker) won with 74.3% to 13.7% for the Greens, a majority of 20,575 votes on a 45.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Speaker (Lindsay Hoyle) on 88.9% and the Greens on 6.1%, a margin of 82.8 points.
Who lives in Chorley? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Chorley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
Chorley is the Speaker's seat. The seat model counts the Speaker, Lindsay Hoyle, together with the other candidates outside the tracked parties, so the projection shows them as "Speaker". In 2024 Lindsay Hoyle took 74.3% and the other candidates 12.0% (House of Commons Library).
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Chorley
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Chorley within Chorley
Chorley sits entirely within Chorley Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | 2026 election |
|---|---|---|
| Chorley | 100% | 2026 result › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adlington & Anderton | Speaker 87.7%vs Green 12.3% | May 2026 Labour 46.4%vs Reform 34.0% | Speaker→Labour +67.0pp | 45.0% |
| Buckshaw & Whittle | Speaker 89.2%vs Green 10.8% | May 2026 Labour 32.1%vs Reform 30.4% | Speaker→Labour +60.6pp | 35.0% |
| Chorley East | Speaker 85.3%vs Green 14.7% | May 2026 Reform 39.7%vs Labour 34.6% | Speaker→Reform +62.5pp | 32.5% |
| Chorley North & Astley | Speaker 85.8%vs Green 14.2% | May 2026 Reform 39.3%vs Labour 34.1% | Speaker→Reform +62.6pp | 38.9% |
| Chorley North East | Speaker 86.1%vs Green 13.9% | May 2026 Labour 51.3%vs Reform 26.8% | Speaker→Labour +68.7pp | 44.4% |
| Chorley North West | Speaker 83.2%vs Green 16.8% | May 2026 Labour 42.1%vs Reform 28.0% | Speaker→Labour +62.6pp | 43.4% |
| Chorley South East & Heath Charnock | Speaker 84.7%vs Green 15.3% | May 2026 Reform 42.7%vs Labour 33.5% | Speaker→Reform +63.7pp | 41.0% |
| Chorley South West | Speaker 82.1%vs Green 17.9% | May 2026 Green 39.7%vs Reform 35.5% | Speaker→Green +51.9pp | 37.0% |
| Clayton East, Brindle & Hoghton | Speaker 88.1%vs Green 11.9% | May 2026 Reform 39.7%vs Labour 28.0% | Speaker→Reform +63.9pp | 37.8% |
| Clayton West & Cuerden | Speaker 84.0%vs Green 16.0% | May 2026 Reform 38.9%vs Labour 33.3% | Speaker→Reform +61.4pp | 43.1% |
| Coppull | Speaker 90.8%vs Green 9.2% | May 2026 Reform 47.4%vs Labour 23.3% | Speaker→Reform +69.1pp | 35.3% |
| Euxton | Speaker 87.2%vs Green 12.8% | May 2026 Reform 36.9%vs Labour 34.2% | Speaker→Reform +62.1pp | 43.1% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Chorley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Chorley at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Lindsay Hoyle | 43.2% | 38.0% | 14.0% | 2,593 | 70.1% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Lindsay Hoyle | 45.1% | 36.3% | 2.6% | 4,530 | 69.2%-0.9 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Lindsay Hoyle | 55.3% | 41.8% | 2.0% | 7,512 | 72.8%+3.6 |
| 2019notional | Speaker winner | Lindsay Hoyle 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | - | - | - | 17,392 | 53.5%-19.3 |
| 2024 | Spk hold | Lindsay Hoyle | - | - | - | 20,575 | 45.4%-8.1 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Chorley
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Chorley. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied70.7 / 71.8vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent14.4 / 13.8vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied70.7 / 69.9vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent14.4 / 13.6vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied70.7 / 73.4vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent14.4 / 12.9vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied70.7 / 67.5vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent14.4 / 16.8vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied70.7 / 71.8vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent14.4 / 14.7vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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