Daventry
East Midlands · County constituency
About the Daventry constituency
Daventry is a county constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Stuart Andrew (Conservative), MP since May 2010. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 33.7% to 28.0% for Labour, a majority of 3,012 votes on a 65.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 33.1% and Reform UK on 24.4%, a margin of 8.7 points.
Who lives in Daventry? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Daventry vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Daventry
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Daventry within West Northamptonshire and North Northamptonshire
Daventry crosses council boundaries: West Northamptonshire (88%), North Northamptonshire (12%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| West Northamptonshire | 88% |
| North Northamptonshire | 12% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braunston and Crick | Conservative 34.0%vs Labour 22.8% | 2025 Lib Dem 41.2%vs Reform 28.3%2025 ward: Braunston & Crick, covering 67% of this ward | - | 44.6% |
| Brixworth | Conservative 33.2%vs Labour 22.2% | 2025 Lib Dem 61.0%vs Reform 20.8%2025 ward: Brixworth, covering 50% of this ward | - | 43.4% |
| Daventry East | Labour 30.6%vs Conservative 29.1% | 2025 Reform 37.4%vs Labour 22.7%2025 ward: Daventry South, covering 67% of this ward | - | 28.8% |
| Daventry West | Labour 39.1%vs Conservative 26.5% | 2025 Reform 37.4%vs Labour 22.7%2025 ward: Daventry South, covering 86% of this ward | - | 28.8% |
| Earls Barton | Conservative 35.4%vs Labour 27.5% | 2025 Conservative 38.3%vs Reform 34.1%2025 ward: Earls Barton, covering 86% of this ward | - | 34.0% |
| Long Buckby | Conservative 34.8%vs Labour 31.6% | 2025 Conservative 42.9%vs Reform 28.9%2025 ward: Long Buckby, covering 67% of this ward | - | 41.2% |
| Moulton | Conservative 37.5%vs Labour 25.6% | 2025 Reform 37.9%vs Conservative 29.1%2025 ward: Moulton, covering 62% of this ward | - | 32.9% |
| Silverstone | Conservative 39.2%vs Labour 27.1% | 2025 Conservative 41.7%vs Reform 30.2%2025 ward: Rural South Northamptonshire, covering 100% of this ward | - | 40.9% |
| Woodford and Weedon | Conservative 36.2%vs Labour 27.3% | 2025 Reform 30.4%vs Conservative 29.4% | - | 39.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Daventry at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Daventry at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Chris Heaton-Harris | 15.8% | 56.5% | 19.4% | 19,188 | 72.5% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Chris Heaton-Harris | 18.1% | 58.2% | 4.5% | 21,059 | 72.1%-0.4 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Chris Heaton-Harris | 24.7% | 63.7% | 7.2% | 21,734 | 74.0%+1.9 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Chris Heaton-Harris 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 17.8% | 64.5% | 13.1% | 26,612 | 74.4%+0.4 |
| 2024 | Con hold | Stuart Andrew | 28.0% | 33.7% | 12.7% | 3,012 | 65.6%-8.8 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Daventry
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Daventry. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied71.8 / 70.7vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 14.4vs 20.2
- ↓Under 3526.0 / 26.7vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied71.8 / 69.9vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 13.6vs 20.2
- ↓Under 3526.0 / 24.8vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied71.8 / 73.4vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 12.9vs 20.2
- ↓Social rent12.8 / 12.4vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied71.8 / 71.8vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 14.7vs 20.2
- ↓Under 3526.0 / 25.8vs 30.2
- ↑Owner-occupied71.8 / 72.4vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 14.1vs 20.2
- ↑Leave58.6 / 59.5vs 53.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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