Mid Leicestershire
East Midlands · County constituency
About the Mid Leicestershire constituency
Mid Leicestershire is a county constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Mr Peter Bedford (Conservative), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 36.9% to 32.3% for Labour, a majority of 2,201 votes on a 63.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 32.7% and Reform UK on 32.6%, a margin of 0.1 points.
Who lives in Mid Leicestershire? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Mid Leicestershire vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Mid Leicestershire
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Mid Leicestershire within Blaby and Charnwood and 1 other council
Mid Leicestershire crosses council boundaries: Blaby (42%), Charnwood (37%), Hinckley and Bosworth (22%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Blaby | 42% |
| Charnwood | 37% |
| Hinckley and Bosworth | 22% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anstey | Conservative 43.6%vs Labour 29.4% | 2023 Conservative 51.9%vs Labour 31.0% | - | 37.1% |
| Birstall East & Wanlip | Conservative 35.4%vs Labour 34.7% | 2023 Conservative 48.6%vs Labour 42.4% | - | 32.2% |
| Birstall West | Conservative 36.4%vs Labour 34.4% | 2023 Conservative 52.9%vs Labour 39.1% | - | 33.3% |
| Braunstone Millfield | Labour 41.9%vs Conservative 28.7% | 2023 Labour 82.4%vs Green 17.6% | - | 25.2% |
| Braunstone Ravenhurst | Labour 33.2%vs Conservative 28.3% | Sitting Labour x2no contested ballot | - | - |
| Forest Bradgate | Conservative 50.0%vs Labour 23.2% | 2023 Conservative 67.9%vs Labour 19.8% | - | 41.3% |
| Glenfield Ellis | Conservative 35.0%vs Labour 29.9% | 2023 Conservative 51.0%vs Lib Dem 49.0% | - | 27.1% |
| Glenfield Faire | Conservative 34.4%vs Labour 33.2% | 2023 Conservative 56.9%vs Green 43.1% | - | 26.2% |
| Groby | Conservative 38.7%vs Labour 28.1% | 2023 Lib Dem 56.6%vs Conservative 35.5% | - | 33.8% |
| Kirby Muxloe | Labour 35.9%vs Conservative 33.0% | 2023 Green 60.9%vs Conservative 33.8% | - | 36.5% |
| Leicester Forest & Lubbesthorpe | Conservative 34.3%vs Labour 32.2% | 2023 Conservative 47.3%vs Lib Dem 39.0% | - | 27.7% |
| Markfield, Stanton and Fieldhead | Conservative 36.4%vs Labour 35.5% | 2023 Labour 47.2%vs Conservative 46.6% | - | 37.1% |
| Mountsorrel | Conservative 39.9%vs Labour 31.7% | 2023 Labour 48.8%vs Conservative 39.5% | - | 32.4% |
| Ratby, Bagworth and Thornton | Conservative 43.2%vs Labour 25.9% | 2023 Conservative 66.0%vs Labour 12.4% | - | 32.9% |
| Rothley Brook | Conservative 39.2%vs Labour 30.1% | 2023 Conservative 58.2%vs Labour 33.2% | - | 33.7% |
| Thorpe Astley & St Mary's | Labour 38.6%vs Conservative 29.8% | 2023 Labour 52.8%vs Conservative 21.0% | - | 26.3% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Mid Leicestershire at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Mid Leicestershire at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con hold | Stephen Dorrell Charnwood MP | 19.7% | 49.6% | 21.5% | 15,029 | 71.9% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Edward Argar Charnwood MP | 21.9% | 54.3% | 6.9% | 16,931 | 67.6%-4.3 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Edward Argar Charnwood MP | 30.8% | 60.4% | 3.7% | 16,341 | 70.7%+3.1 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Edward Argar Charnwood MP, pre-review boundary | 25.6% | 62.2% | 8.0% | 20,188 | 72.5% |
| 2024 | Con hold | Peter Bedford | 32.3% | 36.9% | 5.1% | 2,201 | 63.3%-9.2 |
Mid Leicestershire was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Charnwood (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Mid Leicestershire
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Mid Leicestershire. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Owner-occupied78.9 / 76.4vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent7.3 / 8.9vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent13.0 / 13.6vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied78.9 / 71.4vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent13.0 / 15.2vs 20.2
- ↓Social rent7.3 / 12.9vs 16.8
- ↑Owner-occupied78.9 / 77.8vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent7.3 / 7.7vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent13.0 / 13.5vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied78.9 / 74.4vs 61.9
- ↓Social rent7.3 / 8.7vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent13.0 / 15.5vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied78.9 / 73.3vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent13.0 / 11.3vs 20.2
- ↑Leave59.0 / 57.5vs 53.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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