Milton Keynes Central
South East · Borough constituency · Milton Keynes borough
About the Milton Keynes Central constituency
Milton Keynes Central is a borough constituency in the South East. The sitting MP is Emily Darlington (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 42.3% to 27.1% for the Conservatives, a majority of 7,291 votes on a 58.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 35.1% and Reform UK on 24.1%, a margin of 11.0 points.
Who lives in Milton Keynes Central? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Milton Keynes Central vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Milton Keynes Central
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Milton Keynes Central within Milton Keynes
Milton Keynes Central sits entirely within Milton Keynes Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broughton | Labour 34.1%vs Conservative 29.2% | May 2026 Lib Dem 43.3%vs Reform 20.0%now part of Broughton Moulsoe | Labour→Lib Dem +26.1pp | - |
| Campbell Park & Old Woughton | Labour 36.9%vs Conservative 29.9% | 2024 Lib Dem 37.0%vs Conservative 32.4% | - | 34.5% |
| Central Milton Keynes | Labour 49.5%vs Conservative 21.5% | May 2026 Labour 34.1%vs Reform 20.8% | Labour share -15.3pp | 31.4% |
| Danesborough & Walton | Labour 39.8%vs Conservative 33.7% | 2024 Conservative 47.3%vs Labour 36.2% | - | 33.0% |
| Loughton & Shenley | Labour 50.4%vs Conservative 27.7% | 2024 Labour 44.9%vs Conservative 37.4% | - | 32.6% |
| Monkston | Labour 37.9%vs Conservative 23.4% | 2024 Lib Dem 44.1%vs Labour 24.6% | - | 27.6% |
| Shenley Brook End | Labour 36.7%vs Conservative 30.0% | 2024 Lib Dem 43.3%vs Conservative 31.8% | - | 33.8% |
| Woughton & Fishermead | Labour 52.6%vs Conservative 19.0% | May 2026 Labour 37.7%vs Reform 24.8% | Labour share -14.9pp | 27.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Milton Keynes Central at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Milton Keynes Central at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con gain from Lab | Iain Stewart Milton Keynes South MP | 32.2% | 41.6% | 17.7% | 5,201 | 63.9% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Iain Stewart Milton Keynes South MP | 32.1% | 46.8% | 3.9% | 8,672 | 65.8%+1.9 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Iain Stewart Milton Keynes South MP | 44.9% | 47.5% | 2.9% | 1,665 | 69.8%+4.0 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Iain Stewart Milton Keynes South MP, pre-review boundary | 38.1% | 47.5% | 10.4% | 4,952 | 68.6% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Emily Darlington | 42.3% | 27.1% | 10.3% | 7,291 | 58.9%-9.7 |
Milton Keynes Central was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Milton Keynes South (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Milton Keynes Central
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Milton Keynes Central. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied46.4 / 54.6vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent24.3 / 24.6vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent21.1 / 19.6vs 16.8
- ↑Employed65.8 / 65.2vs 57.3
- ↓Age 65+13.5 / 15.8vs 22.7
- ↑Graduate38.6 / 41.1vs 33.7
- ↓Age 65+13.5 / 15.3vs 22.7
- ↑Employed65.8 / 64.1vs 57.3
- ↓Owner-occupied46.4 / 55.6vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+13.5 / 14.6vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied46.4 / 53.1vs 61.9
- ↑Employed65.8 / 63.2vs 57.3
- ↑Graduate38.6 / 40.0vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent21.1 / 24.3vs 16.8
- ↓Age 65+13.5 / 19.1vs 22.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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