Constituency profile

Nottingham East

East Midlands · Borough constituency · Nottingham borough

Nadia Whittome MP
Sitting MP

Nadia Whittome

Labour

First elected December 2019

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
East Midlands
Borough constituency, Nottingham council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
42.9% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -9.0pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +29.4pp
vs Green 16.4%
MidlandsRemain-leaningDiverse

About the Nottingham East constituency

Nottingham East is a borough constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Nadia Whittome (Labour), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 53.5% to 11.9% for the Greens, a majority of 15,162 votes on a 52.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 45.9% and the Greens on 16.4%, a margin of 29.4 points.

Who lives in Nottingham East? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
42.9%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
33.8%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
17.3%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
40.2%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
59.1%
UK average ~36%
Median age
30.2
UK median ~40
Age 65+
11.2%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
50.0%
UK average ~28%

How did Nottingham East vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 15,162 votes (41.6pp) · turnout 52.5%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Nottingham East

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Nottingham East within Nottingham

Nottingham East sits entirely within Nottingham Council. Nottingham was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Nottingham
64 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
BerridgeLabour 54.0%vs Green 12.2%2023 Labour 80.8%vs Green 13.3%-36.1%
CastleLabour 48.3%vs Green 11.3%2023 Labour 45.0%vs Lib Dem 37.2%-37.0%
DalesLabour 57.0%vs Conservative 11.3%2023 Labour 69.8%vs Conservative 15.8%-33.9%
Hyson Green & ArboretumLabour 54.2%vs Green 13.0%2023 Labour 73.9%vs Green 11.2%-29.6%
MapperleyLabour 51.9%vs Conservative 13.1%2023 Labour 54.2%vs Green 22.3%-35.2%
SherwoodLabour 53.8%vs Green 12.1%2023 Labour 58.8%vs Others 21.4%-39.7%
St. Ann'sLabour 54.1%vs Green 12.3%2023 Labour 64.2%vs Conservative 13.3%-25.4%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Nottingham East at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Nottingham East at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdChristopher Leslie45.4%23.7%24.3%3.4% UKIP2.8%0.4%6,96956.4%
2015Lab holdChristopher Leslie54.6%20.8%4.2%9.9% UKIP9.9%0.7%11,89458.2%+1.8
2017Lab holdChris Leslie71.5%21.6%2.6%2.1% UKIP1.8%0.5%19,59063.7%+5.5
2019notionalLabour winnerNadia Whittome 2019 MP, pre-review boundary63.1%20.8%6.3%-3.1%6.7%18,94259.5%-4.2
2024Lab holdNadia Whittome53.6%10.8%4.8%9.8% Ref11.9%9.2%15,16252.5%-7.0

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Nottingham East

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Nottingham East. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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