Nottingham South
East Midlands · Borough constituency · Nottingham borough
About the Nottingham South constituency
Nottingham South is a borough constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Lilian Greenwood (Labour), first elected in May 2010. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 47.4% to 16.1% for the Conservatives, a majority of 10,294 votes on a 51.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 38.4% and Reform UK on 21.7%, a margin of 16.8 points.
Who lives in Nottingham South? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Nottingham South vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Nottingham South
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Nottingham South within Nottingham
Nottingham South sits entirely within Nottingham Council. Nottingham was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Nottingham | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bilborough | Labour 48.2%vs Reform 15.0% | 2023 Labour 77.8%vs Conservative 12.1% | - | 26.9% |
| Clifton East | Labour 43.2%vs Reform 18.4% | 2023 Others 48.3%vs Labour 39.7% | - | 23.1% |
| Clifton West | Labour 38.3%vs Conservative 24.6% | 2023 Labour 35.4%vs Independent 33.4% | - | 39.1% |
| Lenton & Wollaton East | Labour 51.5%vs Reform 14.5% | 2023 Labour 67.5%vs Conservative 14.6% | - | 38.3% |
| Meadows | Labour 54.3%vs Reform 15.0% | 2023 Labour 53.9%vs Others 26.1% | - | 31.4% |
| Radford | Labour 48.4%vs Reform 17.5% | 2023 Labour 74.2%vs Green 12.9% | - | 26.4% |
| Wollaton West | Labour 47.2%vs Conservative 22.8% | 2023 Labour 55.3%vs Conservative 31.0% | - | 51.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Nottingham South at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Nottingham South at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Lilian Greenwood | 37.3% | 32.9% | 23.1% | 1,772 | 60.5% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Lilian Greenwood | 47.6% | 31.7% | 3.5% | 6,936 | 63.0%+2.5 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Lilian Greenwood | 62.4% | 30.9% | 3.2% | 15,162 | 67.6%+4.6 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Lilian Greenwood 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 53.8% | 31.6% | 6.7% | 10,041 | 59.3%-8.3 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Lilian Greenwood | 47.4% | 16.1% | 6.3% | 10,294 | 51.2%-8.1 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Nottingham South
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Nottingham South. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Under 3551.4 / 42.4vs 30.2
- ↓Employed43.0 / 48.1vs 57.3
- ↓Owner-occupied46.6 / 54.2vs 61.9
- ↓Owner-occupied46.6 / 45.1vs 61.9
- ↓Employed43.0 / 47.6vs 57.3
- ↑Under 3551.4 / 40.4vs 30.2
- ↑Under 3551.4 / 50.0vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied46.6 / 40.2vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+14.6 / 11.2vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied46.6 / 41.9vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3551.4 / 44.5vs 30.2
- ↓Age 65+14.6 / 15.3vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied46.6 / 51.9vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3551.4 / 39.5vs 30.2
- ↓Age 65+14.6 / 16.1vs 22.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.