Nottingham North and Kimberley
East Midlands · Borough constituency
About the Nottingham North and Kimberley constituency
Nottingham North and Kimberley is a borough constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Alex Norris (Labour (Co-op)), first elected in June 2017. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 47.1% to 20.1% for Reform UK, a majority of 9,427 votes on a 47.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 37.9% and Reform UK on 28.4%, a margin of 9.5 points.
Who lives in Nottingham North and Kimberley? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Nottingham North and Kimberley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Nottingham North and Kimberley
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Nottingham North and Kimberley within Nottingham and Broxtowe
Nottingham North and Kimberley crosses council boundaries: Nottingham (83%), Broxtowe (17%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Nottingham | 83% |
| Broxtowe | 17% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug 2025 | Nuthall East & Strelley | Con HOLD | Con 29% Ref 28% Other 21% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aspley | Labour 50.2%vs Reform 22.3% | 2023 Labour 81.1%vs Conservative 16.0% | - | 19.5% |
| Basford | Labour 50.2%vs Reform 21.2% | 2023 Labour 64.8%vs Others 14.4% | - | 33.0% |
| Bestwood | Labour 51.4%vs Conservative 17.4% | 2023 Labour 58.7%vs Others 23.9% | - | 23.2% |
| Bulwell | Labour 46.8%vs Reform 23.3% | 2023 Labour 68.6%vs Conservative 13.1% | - | 27.5% |
| Bulwell Forest | Labour 46.6%vs Reform 20.9% | 2023 Labour 54.0%vs Conservative 30.8% | - | 32.4% |
| Kimberley | Labour 40.1%vs Conservative 26.2% | 2023 Labour 65.2%vs Conservative 34.8% | - | 33.3% |
| Leen Valley | Labour 49.2%vs Conservative 18.3% | 2023 Labour 66.6%vs Conservative 20.5% | - | 31.8% |
| Nuthall East & Strelley | Labour 39.3%vs Conservative 33.6% | 2023 Conservative 49.0%vs Labour 41.1% | - | 40.6% |
| Watnall & Nuthall West | Labour 35.1%vs Conservative 30.2% | 2023 Conservative 50.8%vs Labour 49.2% | - | 35.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Nottingham North and Kimberley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Nottingham North and Kimberley at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con gain from Lab | Anna Soubry Broxtowe MP | 38.3% | 39.0% | 16.9% | 389 | 73.2% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | Anna Soubry Broxtowe MP | 37.2% | 45.2% | 4.0% | 4,287 | 74.5%+1.3 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | Anna Soubry Broxtowe MP | 45.3% | 46.8% | 4.0% | 863 | 75.0%+0.5 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Alex Norris Nottingham North MP, pre-review boundary | 46.0% | 40.2% | 3.8% | 2,490 | 57.8% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Alex Norris | 47.1% | 19.4% | 3.8% | 9,427 | 47.5%-10.3 |
Nottingham North and Kimberley was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Broxtowe (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Nottingham North and Kimberley
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Nottingham North and Kimberley. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Social rent26.9 / 26.5vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate24.2 / 25.9vs 33.7
- ↑No quals24.8 / 24.5vs 18.0
- ↑Social rent26.9 / 28.1vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied54.4 / 54.8vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate24.2 / 27.6vs 33.7
- ↓Graduate24.2 / 23.5vs 33.7
- ↑No quals24.8 / 23.4vs 18.0
- ↑Social rent26.9 / 22.5vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate24.2 / 26.4vs 33.7
- ↑No quals24.8 / 22.7vs 18.0
- ↑Social rent26.9 / 21.5vs 16.8
- ↑No quals24.8 / 24.0vs 18.0
- ↓Graduate24.2 / 27.9vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent26.9 / 20.7vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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