Poplar and Limehouse
London · Borough constituency · Tower Hamlets borough
About the Poplar and Limehouse constituency
Poplar and Limehouse is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Apsana Begum (Labour), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 43.0% to 14.4% for other parties, a majority of 12,560 votes on a 51.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 33.5% and the Greens on 17.2%, a margin of 16.4 points.
Who lives in Poplar and Limehouse? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Poplar and Limehouse vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Poplar and Limehouse
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Poplar and Limehouse within Tower Hamlets
Poplar and Limehouse sits entirely within Tower Hamlets Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Tower Hamlets | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackwall & Cubitt Town | Labour 39.8%vs Others 13.6% | May 2026 Others 40.3%vs Labour 19.6% | Labour→Others +30.3pp | - |
| Bromley South | Labour 51.0%vs Others 16.7% | May 2026 Others 39.1%vs Labour 31.6% | Labour→Others +29.2pp | - |
| Canary Wharf | Labour 36.5%vs Green 16.2% | May 2026 Others 36.2%vs Labour 22.0% | Labour→Others +25.4pp | - |
| Island Gardens | Labour 38.5%vs Green 15.5% | May 2026 Others 32.1%vs Conservative 23.1% | Labour→Others +28.8pp | - |
| Lansbury | Labour 44.8%vs Others 18.1% | May 2026 Others 49.1%vs Labour 17.7% | Labour→Others +38.1pp | - |
| Limehouse | Labour 45.8%vs Conservative 14.9% | May 2026 Labour 31.4%vs Others 21.4% | Labour share -14.4pp | - |
| Mile End | Labour 49.0%vs Others 15.9% | May 2026 Others 38.7%vs Labour 25.9% | Labour→Others +30.9pp | - |
| Poplar | Labour 40.2%vs Others 20.0% | May 2026 Others 57.5%vs Labour 17.1% | Labour→Others +40.3pp | - |
| St Katharine's & Wapping | Labour 40.9%vs Lib Dem 15.3% | May 2026 Labour 32.0%vs Lib Dem 20.9% | Labour share -8.9pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Poplar and Limehouse at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Poplar and Limehouse at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Jim Fitzpatrick | 40.0% | 27.1% | 11.2% | 6,030 | 62.3% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Jim Fitzpatrick | 58.5% | 25.4% | 4.2% | 16,924 | 62.2%-0.1 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Jim Fitzpatrick | 67.3% | 20.1% | 6.7% | 27,712 | 67.3%+5.1 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Apsana Begum 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 60.3% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 22,047 | 68.1%+0.8 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Apsana Begum | 43.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 12,560 | 51.2%-16.9 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Poplar and Limehouse
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Poplar and Limehouse. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied24.1 / 27.7vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3553.2 / 49.0vs 30.2
- ↑Private rent42.2 / 37.6vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied24.1 / 20.4vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3553.2 / 53.6vs 30.2
- ↓Leave34.2 / 32.5vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied24.1 / 26.8vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent42.2 / 36.0vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent31.1 / 34.2vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied24.1 / 25.5vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3553.2 / 59.3vs 30.2
- ↑Private rent42.2 / 39.3vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied24.1 / 23.2vs 61.9
- ↓Leave34.2 / 26.7vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate53.8 / 51.0vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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