Stratford and Bow
London · Borough constituency
About the Stratford and Bow constituency
Stratford and Bow is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Uma Kumaran (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 44.1% to 22.2% for other parties, a majority of 11,634 votes on a 53.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 34.0% and the Greens on 20.5%, a margin of 13.5 points.
Who lives in Stratford and Bow? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Stratford and Bow vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Stratford and Bow
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Stratford and Bow within Newham and Tower Hamlets
Stratford and Bow crosses council boundaries: Newham (63%), Tower Hamlets (37%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Newham | 63% | View projection › |
| Tower Hamlets | 37% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bow East | Labour 45.8%vs Others 20.0% | May 2026 Green 41.1%vs Labour 25.7% | Labour→Green +21.6pp | - |
| Bow West | Labour 45.3%vs Others 20.1% | May 2026 Green 36.2%vs Labour 26.5% | Labour→Green +18.3pp | - |
| Bromley North | Labour 42.7%vs Others 25.3% | May 2026 Others 40.4%vs Green 30.1% | Labour→Others +31.4pp | - |
| Forest Gate North | Labour 45.3%vs Others 20.5% | May 2026 Labour 35.0%vs Green 34.7% | Labour share -10.3pp | 41.5% |
| Forest Gate South | Labour 38.4%vs Others 32.7% | May 2026 Green 35.0%vs Labour 29.3% | Labour→Green +14.7pp | 36.8% |
| Green Street West | Labour 43.3%vs Others 23.1% | May 2026 Others 41.3%vs Labour 28.9% | Labour→Others +27.8pp | 37.1% |
| Maryland | Labour 45.5%vs Others 20.6% | May 2026 Green 35.9%vs Labour 28.5% | Labour→Green +18.2pp | 33.5% |
| Stratford | Labour 44.6%vs Others 21.2% | May 2026 Green 47.1%vs Labour 27.4% | Labour→Green +24.2pp | 29.7% |
| Stratford Olympic Park | Labour 45.3%vs Green 20.2% | May 2026 Green 62.9%vs Labour 17.0% | Labour→Green +35.5pp | 31.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Stratford and Bow at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Stratford and Bow at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Lyn Brown West Ham MP | 62.7% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 22,534 | 55.0% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Lyn Brown West Ham MP | 68.4% | 15.4% | 2.7% | 27,986 | 58.2%+3.2 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Lyn Brown West Ham MP | 76.7% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 36,754 | 65.7%+7.5 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Lyn Brown West Ham MP, pre-review boundary | 70.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 26,491 | 64.2% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Uma Kumaran | 44.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 11,634 | 53.8%-10.4 |
Stratford and Bow was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat West Ham (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Stratford and Bow
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Stratford and Bow. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied27.7 / 24.1vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3549.0 / 53.2vs 30.2
- ↑Private rent37.6 / 42.2vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied27.7 / 26.8vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent37.6 / 36.0vs 20.2
- ↓Age 65+8.0 / 8.6vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied27.7 / 20.4vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3549.0 / 53.6vs 30.2
- ↑Private rent37.6 / 36.4vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied27.7 / 34.1vs 61.9
- ↓Leave37.7 / 36.4vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent37.6 / 35.6vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied27.7 / 25.5vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent37.6 / 39.3vs 20.2
- ↑Under 3549.0 / 59.3vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.