Rotherham
Yorkshire and The Humber · Borough constituency · Rotherham borough
About the Rotherham constituency
Rotherham is a borough constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Sarah Champion (Labour), first elected in November 2012. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 45.1% to 30.3% for Reform UK, a majority of 5,490 votes on a 48.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 31.4% and Reform UK on 31.4%, a margin of 0.0 points.
Who lives in Rotherham? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Rotherham vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Rotherham
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Rotherham within Rotherham
Rotherham sits entirely within Rotherham Council. Rotherham was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Rotherham | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | Keppel | Ref GAIN from Lab | Ref 40% Other 32% Lab 19% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Castle | Labour 45.9%vs Reform 28.5% | 2024 Independent 38.1%vs Labour 29.6% | - | 37.0% |
| Brinsworth | Labour 41.2%vs Reform 27.4% | 2024 Lib Dem 58.8%vs Labour 26.5% | - | 29.0% |
| Dalton & Thrybergh | Labour 40.4%vs Reform 34.6% | 2024 Independent 54.9%vs Labour 35.9% | - | 24.0% |
| Greasbrough | Labour 44.1%vs Reform 34.4% | 2024 Labour 54.2%vs Independent 29.2% | - | 23.0% |
| Keppel | Labour 46.2%vs Reform 30.7% | 2024 Labour 45.8%vs Independent 24.7% | - | 26.0% |
| Rother Vale | Labour 43.7%vs Reform 29.4% | 2024 Labour 50.1%vs Lib Dem 34.8% | - | 27.0% |
| Rotherham East | Labour 49.0%vs Reform 30.3% | 2024 Labour 55.4%vs Conservative 17.9% | - | 24.0% |
| Rotherham West | Labour 42.8%vs Reform 30.2% | 2024 Independent 38.8%vs Labour 37.3% | - | 30.0% |
| Wickersley North | Labour 48.4%vs Reform 29.3% | 2024 Labour 57.4%vs Conservative 23.2% | - | 27.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Rotherham at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Rotherham at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Denis Macshane | 44.6% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 10,462 | 59.0% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Sarah Champion | 52.5% | 12.3% | 2.9% | 8,446 | 59.4%+0.4 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Sarah Champion | 56.4% | 26.4% | 4.6% | 11,387 | 60.0%+0.6 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Sarah Champion 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 40.7% | 33.1% | 6.2% | 3,297 | 57.8%-2.2 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Sarah Champion | 45.1% | 0% | 7.6% | 5,490 | 48.6%-9.2 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Rotherham
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Rotherham. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave68.3 / 70.9vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate21.5 / 22.7vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent26.2 / 24.9vs 16.8
- ↑Leave68.3 / 72.1vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate21.5 / 20.8vs 33.7
- ↑No quals26.1 / 26.2vs 18.0
- ↑Leave68.3 / 66.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate21.5 / 22.4vs 33.7
- ↑No quals26.1 / 25.2vs 18.0
- ↓Graduate21.5 / 23.5vs 33.7
- ↑Leave68.3 / 61.8vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent26.2 / 22.5vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate21.5 / 22.3vs 33.7
- ↑Leave68.3 / 64.8vs 53.2
- ↑No quals26.1 / 25.6vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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