Constituency profile

Sheffield Heeley

Yorkshire and The Humber · Borough constituency · Sheffield borough

Louise Haigh MP
Sitting MP

Louise Haigh

Labour

First elected May 2015Cabinet: First Secretary of State; Chancellor of the Duchy of Lancaster; Minister for the Cabinet Office

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Yorkshire and The Humber
Borough constituency, Sheffield council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
41.0% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -10.9pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +16.0pp
vs Green 20.5%
NorthernRemain-leaning

About the Sheffield Heeley constituency

Sheffield Heeley is a borough constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Louise Haigh (Labour), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 55.2% to 15.4% for the Greens, a majority of 15,304 votes on a 52.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 36.5% and the Greens on 20.5%, a margin of 16.0 points.

Who lives in Sheffield Heeley? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
41.0%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
30.7%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
22.3%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
53.0%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
46.6%
UK average ~36%
Median age
38.8
UK median ~40
Age 65+
20.9%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
32.5%
UK average ~28%

How did Sheffield Heeley vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 15,304 votes (39.8pp) · turnout 52.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Sheffield Heeley

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Sheffield Heeley within Sheffield

Sheffield Heeley sits entirely within Sheffield Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Sheffield
67 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Beauchief and GreenhillLabour 51.7%vs Lib Dem 14.9%May 2026 Lib Dem 31.7%vs Reform 29.1%
Labour→Lib Dem
+26.6pp
41.8%
Gleadless ValleyLabour 54.2%vs Green 23.3%May 2026 Green 60.7%vs Reform 18.6%
Labour→Green
+39.2pp
43.8%
Graves ParkLabour 52.3%vs Lib Dem 15.1%May 2026 Green 32.5%vs Lib Dem 26.0%
Labour→Green
+26.6pp
51.4%
Manor CastleLabour 60.8%vs Green 14.6%May 2026 Green 42.5%vs Reform 26.2%
Labour→Green
+32.9pp
30.7%
Park and ArbourthorneLabour 58.2%vs Conservative 15.4%May 2026 Reform 38.0%vs Labour 28.1%
Labour→Reform
+34.0pp
34.7%
RichmondLabour 53.2%vs Conservative 18.2%May 2026 Reform 50.5%vs Labour 22.6%
Labour→Reform
+40.5pp
35.9%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Sheffield Heeley at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Sheffield Heeley at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdMeg Munn42.6%17.3%28.4%3.7% UKIP2.4%5.5%5,80762.3%
2015Lab holdLouise Haigh48.2%16.2%11.3%17.4% UKIP6.1%0.9%12,95461.9%-0.4
2017Lab holdLouise Haigh60.0%28.7%4.6%4.5% UKIP2.1%0.1%13,82865.0%+3.1
2019notionalLabour winnerLouise Haigh 2019 MP, pre-review boundary53.9%27.1%6.7%-4.3%8.0%12,22061.2%-3.8
2024Lab holdLouise Haigh55.2%13.6%10.0%-15.4%5.7%15,30452.3%-8.9

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Sheffield Heeley

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Sheffield Heeley. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.