South Shields
North East · Borough constituency · South Tyneside borough
About the South Shields constituency
South Shields is a borough constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Emma Lewell (Labour), first elected in May 2013. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 41.1% to 23.0% for Reform UK, a majority of 6,653 votes on a 53.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 31.5% and Reform UK on 27.9%, a margin of 3.6 points.
Who lives in South Shields? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did South Shields vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of South Shields
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
South Shields within South Tyneside
South Shields sits entirely within South Tyneside Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| South Tyneside | 100% | View projection › |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Aug 2026 | Harton | Ref HOLD | Ref 35% Other 23% Lab 20% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beacon and Bents | Labour 40.7%vs Reform 21.0% | May 2026 Green 44.2%vs Reform 28.3% | Labour→Green +26.6pp | - |
| Biddick and All Saints | Labour 41.2%vs Reform 23.6% | May 2026 Reform 43.7%vs Green 40.7% | Labour→Reform +24.3pp | - |
| Cleadon Park | Labour 41.0%vs Reform 23.8% | May 2026 Reform 42.0%vs Others 23.5%now part of Cleadon Park Harton Moor | Labour→Reform +21.9pp | - |
| Cleadon and East Boldon | Labour 40.4%vs Reform 22.3% | 2024 Green 47.5%vs Conservative 29.9% | - | 46.6% |
| Harton | Labour 41.0%vs Reform 23.2% | May 2026 Reform 43.4%vs Others 23.8% | Labour→Reform +23.1pp | - |
| Horsley Hill | Labour 41.4%vs Reform 23.4% | May 2026 Reform 42.4%vs Others 21.0%now part of Horsley Hill Westoe Crown | Labour→Reform +22.6pp | - |
| Simonside and Rekendyke | Labour 41.3%vs Reform 22.9% | May 2026 Reform 39.2%vs Green 31.2% | Labour→Reform +20.3pp | - |
| West Park | Labour 40.4%vs Reform 22.9% | May 2026 Green 47.3%vs Reform 39.2% | Labour→Green +29.1pp | - |
| Westoe | Labour 41.1%vs Reform 23.0% | May 2026 Others 32.6%vs Reform 31.8% | Labour→Others +30.4pp | - |
| Whitburn and Marsden | Labour 41.7%vs Reform 23.1% | May 2026 Reform 46.7%vs Green 29.5% | Labour→Reform +20.8pp | - |
| Whiteleas | Labour 41.4%vs Reform 23.8% | May 2026 Reform 55.0%vs Green 23.6% | Labour→Reform +25.6pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for South Shields at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won South Shields at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | David Miliband | 52.0% | 21.6% | 14.2% | 11,109 | 57.0% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Emma Lewell-Buck | 51.3% | 16.6% | 1.8% | 10,614 | 57.8%+0.8 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Emma Lewell-Buck | 61.5% | 25.9% | 1.7% | 14,508 | 64.3%+6.5 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Emma Lewell-Buck 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 44.1% | 25.8% | 3.5% | 8,365 | 65.7%+1.4 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Emma Lewell-Buck | 41.1% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 6,653 | 53.9%-11.8 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like South Shields
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to South Shields. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Social rent27.3 / 28.5vs 16.8
- ↑Leave62.0 / 62.4vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate27.2 / 22.9vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent27.3 / 29.9vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate27.2 / 22.5vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent14.4 / 12.4vs 20.2
- ↑Leave62.0 / 60.4vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent27.3 / 24.3vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent14.4 / 13.9vs 20.2
- ↑Leave62.0 / 60.8vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate27.2 / 26.8vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent27.3 / 23.8vs 16.8
- ↑Leave62.0 / 69.6vs 53.2
- ↓Employed50.1 / 50.5vs 57.3
- ↓Graduate27.2 / 24.8vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.