Wolverhampton North East
West Midlands · Borough constituency
About the Wolverhampton North East constituency
Wolverhampton North East is a borough constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Sureena Brackenridge (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 42.9% to 26.6% for the Conservatives, a majority of 5,422 votes on a 47.1% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 35.6% and Reform UK on 34.5%, a margin of 1.1 points.
Who lives in Wolverhampton North East? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Wolverhampton North East vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Wolverhampton North East
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Wolverhampton North East within Wolverhampton and Walsall
Wolverhampton North East crosses council boundaries: Wolverhampton (75%), Walsall (25%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton | 75% | View projection › |
| Walsall | 25% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bushbury North | Labour 40.7%vs Conservative 31.3% | May 2026 Reform 41.1%vs Conservative 21.5% | Labour→Reform +20.1pp | 35.9% |
| Bushbury South & Low Hill | Labour 49.3%vs Reform 22.3% | May 2026 Reform 39.4%vs Labour 32.3% | Labour→Reform +17.0pp | 24.3% |
| Fallings Park | Labour 45.6%vs Conservative 25.9% | May 2026 Reform 41.8%vs Labour 28.6% | Labour→Reform +18.5pp | 32.3% |
| Heath Town | Labour 48.7%vs Reform 22.4% | May 2026 Labour 33.2%vs Reform 29.8% | Labour share -15.4pp | 26.1% |
| Oxley | Labour 45.0%vs Conservative 23.7% | May 2026 Reform 33.4%vs Labour 25.8% | Labour→Reform +18.3pp | 33.9% |
| Short Heath | Labour 34.4%vs Conservative 29.4% | May 2026 Reform 49.0%vs Conservative 32.4% | Labour→Reform +23.7pp | 39.8% |
| Wednesfield North | Labour 44.7%vs Conservative 26.9% | May 2026 Reform 52.7%vs Labour 19.1% | Labour→Reform +28.2pp | 36.1% |
| Wednesfield South | Labour 44.1%vs Conservative 28.0% | May 2026 Reform 44.9%vs Labour 31.4% | Labour→Reform +18.2pp | 35.7% |
| Willenhall North | Labour 33.9%vs Conservative 29.3% | 2024 Conservative 42.6%vs Labour 42.2% | - | 26.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Wolverhampton North East at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Wolverhampton North East at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Emma Reynolds | 41.4% | 34.3% | 13.5% | 2,484 | 59.2% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Emma Reynolds | 46.1% | 29.9% | 2.7% | 5,495 | 55.7%-3.5 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Emma Reynolds | 52.8% | 40.3% | 1.6% | 4,587 | 60.1%+4.4 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Jane Stevenson 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 35.9% | 55.7% | 3.6% | 7,847 | 56.2%-3.9 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Sureena Brackenridge | 42.9% | 26.6% | 3.0% | 5,422 | 47.1%-9.1 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Wolverhampton North East
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Wolverhampton North East. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave67.7 / 70.9vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate21.8 / 22.7vs 33.7
- ↑No quals26.7 / 25.8vs 18.0
- ↑Social rent27.8 / 26.5vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate21.8 / 25.9vs 33.7
- ↑Leave67.7 / 61.4vs 53.2
- ↑Leave67.7 / 68.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate21.8 / 18.9vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent27.8 / 32.9vs 16.8
- ↑Leave67.7 / 68.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate21.8 / 21.5vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent27.8 / 26.2vs 16.8
- ↑Leave67.7 / 66.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate21.8 / 22.4vs 33.7
- ↑No quals26.7 / 25.2vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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