Aberdeenshire North and Moray East
Scotland · County constituency
About the Aberdeenshire North and Moray East constituency
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Seamus Logan (Scottish National Party), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the SNP won with 35.2% to 32.8% for the Conservatives, a majority of 942 votes on a 54.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 27.7% and the SNP on 27.6%, a margin of 0.1 points - a projected change of hands from the SNP.
Who lives in Aberdeenshire North and Moray East? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Aberdeenshire North and Moray East vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Aberdeenshire North and Moray East
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Aberdeenshire North and Moray East voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Banffshire and Buchan Coast (77%), Moray (12%), Aberdeenshire East (10%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Aberdeenshire North and Moray East's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banffshire and Buchan Coast | 77% | SNP 35.2% | Reform UK 33.9% | Karen Adam |
| Moray | 12% | SNP 38.5% | Conservative 30.4% | Laura Mitchell |
| Aberdeenshire East | 10% | SNP 33.4% | Conservative 30.7% | Gillian Martin |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East within Aberdeenshire and Moray
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East crosses council boundaries: Aberdeenshire (76%), Moray (24%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Aberdeenshire | 76% |
| Moray | 24% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | Peterhead South & Cruden | SNP GAIN from Con | SNP 36% Ref 23% Con 21% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | Central Buchan | Con GAIN from SNP | Con 41% SNP 28% LD 14% |
| 7 Nov 2024 | Fraserburgh and District | Con GAIN from SNP | Con 36% SNP 28% Ref 26% |
| 3 Nov 2022 | Buckie | SNP GAIN from LD | - |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banff and District | SNP 42.6%vs Conservative 36.6% | 2022 SNP 31.9%Conservative 27.8%, Independent 27.0%, Labour 5.0%, Lib Dem 3.8%, Green 2.6%, Others 1.8% | - | 43.2% |
| Buckie | SNP 44.8%vs Conservative 29.6% | 2017 SNP 44.8%Conservative 33.8%, Independent 21.4% | - | - |
| Central Buchan | Conservative 36.5%vs SNP 35.9% | 2022 Conservative 33.3%SNP 31.1%, Lib Dem 13.0%, Independent 11.3%, Labour 4.6%, Others 3.8%, Green 2.9% | - | 29.3% |
| Fochabers Lhanbryde | SNP 38.2%vs Conservative 35.9% | 2022 SNP 43.0%Conservative 39.8%, Labour 10.1%, Lib Dem 7.1% | - | 48.4% |
| Fraserburgh and District | Conservative 38.3%vs SNP 30.8% | 2022 Independent 36.0%Conservative 32.5%, SNP 20.0%, Others 6.7%, Lib Dem 4.8% | - | 40.5% |
| Keith and Cullen | SNP 37.5%vs Conservative 35.6% | 2022 Conservative 43.7%SNP 43.5%, Lib Dem 9.9%, Others 2.9% | - | 42.4% |
| Peterhead North and Rattray | SNP 38.6%vs Conservative 33.6% | 2022 Independent 38.1%SNP 29.1%, Conservative 26.7%, Lib Dem 3.7%, Others 2.4% | - | 35.5% |
| Peterhead South and Cruden | SNP 38.8%vs Conservative 33.0% | 2022 SNP 46.5%Conservative 41.3%, Lib Dem 12.2% | - | 37.2% |
| Troup | Conservative 39.2%vs SNP 34.7% | 2022 Conservative 50.2%SNP 37.3%, Lib Dem 8.5%, Green 4.1% | - | 40.2% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Aberdeenshire North and Moray East at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Aberdeenshire North and Moray East at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | SNP hold | Eilidh Whiteford Banff and Buchan MP | 14.0% | 30.8% | 11.3% | 41.3% | 4,027 | 59.8% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP hold | Eilidh Whiteford Banff and Buchan MP | 5.8% | 28.8% | 5.1% | 60.2% | 14,339 | 66.5%+6.7 |
| 2017predecessor | Con gain from SNP | David Duguid Banff and Buchan MP | 9.5% | 48.0% | 3.5% | 39.1% | 3,693 | 61.6%-4.9 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | David Duguid Banff and Buchan MP, pre-review boundary | 4.2% | 48.3% | 4.4% | 43.1% | 2,399 | 64.2% |
| 2024 | SNP gain from Con | Seamus Logan | 10.1% | 32.8% | 7.3% | 35.2% | 942 | 54.5%-9.7 |
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Banff and Buchan (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Aberdeenshire North and Moray East
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Aberdeenshire North and Moray East. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Private rent8.2 / 8.9vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied67.7 / 68.7vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3525.3 / 21.9vs 30.2
- ↓Private rent8.2 / 13.3vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent22.4 / 21.8vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3525.3 / 27.0vs 30.2
- ↓Private rent8.2 / 11.9vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied67.7 / 67.4vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3525.3 / 26.6vs 30.2
- ↓Private rent8.2 / 12.3vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied67.7 / 69.9vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3525.3 / 27.6vs 30.2
- ↓Private rent8.2 / 10.6vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent22.4 / 23.3vs 16.8
- ↓Under 3525.3 / 23.9vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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