Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross
Scotland · County constituency · Highland
About the Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross constituency
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Jamie Stone (Liberal Democrat), MP since June 2017. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 49.4% to 26.6% for the SNP, a majority of 10,489 votes on a 61.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 34.6% and the SNP on 29.0%, a margin of 5.6 points.
Who lives in Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross sits almost entirely within the Holyrood constituency of Caithness, Sutherland and Ross. Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caithness, Sutherland and Ross | 94% | Liberal Democrats 48.0% | SNP 31.4% | David Green |
| Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch | 5% | Liberal Democrats 38.9% | SNP 36.5% | Andrew Baxter |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross within Highland
Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross sits entirely within Highland Council. Highland was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Highland | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | East Sutherland & Edderton | Ind HOLD | Other 40% LD 33% SNP 17% |
| 25 Sep 2025 | Tain & Easter Ross | LD GAIN from SNP | LD 39% Other 28% SNP 15% |
| 19 Jun 2025 | Cromarty Firth | Ind HOLD | Other 40% SNP 24% Ref 15% |
| 27 Sep 2024 | Cromarty Firth | Ind HOLD | - |
| 14 Jun 2024 | Tain and Easter Ross | Ind HOLD | - |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aird and Loch Ness | SNP 37.4%vs Lib Dem 33.6% | 2022 Independent 31.0%SNP 26.2%, Conservative 21.1%, Green 10.2%, Lib Dem 6.6%, Labour 4.9% | - | 39.3% |
| Black Isle | Lib Dem 48.3%vs SNP 29.6% | 2022 Independent 26.3%SNP 24.9%, Lib Dem 15.7%, Conservative 14.8%, Green 13.2%, Labour 5.2% | - | 46.4% |
| Cromarty Firth | Lib Dem 59.2%vs SNP 27.8% | 2022 Independent 29.2%SNP 29.1%, Lib Dem 27.9%, Conservative 6.7%, Labour 4.2%, Green 2.9% | - | 34.5% |
| Dingwall and Seaforth | Lib Dem 48.0%vs SNP 34.2% | 2022 SNP 32.2%Independent 27.9%, Lib Dem 16.7%, Conservative 14.0%, Labour 4.7%, Green 4.5% | - | 44.7% |
| East Sutherland and Edderton | Lib Dem 55.4%vs SNP 21.2% | 2022 Lib Dem 35.8%SNP 26.5%, Independent 19.0%, Conservative 17.0%, Others 1.6% | - | 49.9% |
| North, West and Central Sutherland | Lib Dem 55.5%vs SNP 29.3% | 2022 SNP 35.1%Lib Dem 28.1%, Independent 17.3%, Conservative 11.0%, Others 4.6%, Labour 3.9% | - | 55.1% |
| Tain and Easter Ross | Lib Dem 47.8%vs SNP 27.4% | 2022 Independent 37.3%SNP 30.6%, Lib Dem 21.5%, Conservative 10.6% | - | 47.5% |
| Thurso | Lib Dem 52.9%vs SNP 19.8% | No council data | - | - |
| Wester Ross, Strathpeffer and Lochalsh | SNP 36.1%vs Lib Dem 35.9% | 2022 SNP 41.1%Independent 28.7%, Conservative 17.3%, Lib Dem 12.9% | - | 52.0% |
| Wick | Lib Dem 58.3%vs SNP 24.0% | No council data | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | LD hold | John Thurso | 24.6% | 13.0% | 41.4% | 19.2% | 4,826 | 60.9% |
| 2015 | SNP gain from LD | Paul Monaghan | 9.0% | 6.8% | 35.1% | 46.3% | 3,844 | 71.9%+11.0 |
| 2017 | LD gain from SNP | Jamie Stone | 12.4% | 22.6% | 35.8% | 29.2% | 2,044 | 65.9%-6.0 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Ian Blackford Ross, Skye and Lochaber MP, pre-review boundary | 5.3% | 17.3% | 33.6% | 38.9% | 2,788 | 70.1%+4.2 |
| 2024 | LD gain from SNP | Jamie Stone | 7.4% | 4.0% | 49.4% | 26.6% | 10,489 | 61.7%-8.4 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Caithness, Sutherland and Easter Ross. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Under 3521.9 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+29.9 / 30.3vs 22.7
- ↓Private rent8.9 / 12.3vs 20.2
- ↓Private rent8.9 / 8.2vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied68.7 / 67.7vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3521.9 / 25.3vs 30.2
- ↓Private rent8.9 / 10.6vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate41.0 / 44.1vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied68.7 / 68.0vs 61.9
- ↓Under 3521.9 / 22.5vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+29.9 / 31.4vs 22.7
- ↓Private rent8.9 / 13.5vs 20.2
- ↓Under 3521.9 / 22.3vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+29.9 / 30.4vs 22.7
- ↑Owner-occupied68.7 / 71.9vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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