Aldridge-Brownhills
West Midlands · Borough constituency · Walsall
About the Aldridge-Brownhills constituency
Aldridge-Brownhills is a borough constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Wendy Morton (Conservative), MP since May 2015. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 38.9% to 28.4% for Labour, a majority of 4,294 votes on a 58.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 39.9% and Reform UK on 30.9%, a margin of 9.0 points.
Who lives in Aldridge-Brownhills? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Aldridge-Brownhills vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Aldridge-Brownhills
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Aldridge-Brownhills within Walsall
Aldridge-Brownhills sits entirely within Walsall Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | 2026 election |
|---|---|---|
| Walsall | 100% | 2026 result › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldridge Central and South | Conservative 41.3%vs Labour 26.4% | May 2026 Conservative 40.5%vs Reform 37.4% | Conservative share -0.9pp | 46.6% |
| Aldridge North and Walsall Wood | Conservative 37.7%vs Labour 28.3% | May 2026 Reform 41.5%vs Conservative 37.7% | Conservative→Reform +7.9pp | 42.1% |
| Brownhills | Conservative 34.9%vs Labour 32.1% | May 2026 Reform 48.5%vs Conservative 27.2% | Conservative→Reform +16.2pp | 37.9% |
| Paddock | Labour 28.1%vs Conservative 26.1% | May 2026 Conservative 29.1%vs Others 23.2% | Labour→Conservative +9.9pp | 49.0% |
| Pelsall | Conservative 43.4%vs Labour 25.2% | May 2026 Reform 42.7%vs Conservative 33.1% | Conservative→Reform +15.5pp | 42.8% |
| Pheasey Park Farm | Conservative 38.3%vs Labour 27.7% | May 2026 Reform 37.5%vs Conservative 34.9% | Conservative→Reform +7.5pp | 46.1% |
| Rushall-Shelfield | Labour 33.0%vs Conservative 31.5% | May 2026 Reform 40.9%vs Conservative 19.0% | Labour→Reform +15.7pp | 38.5% |
| Streetly | Conservative 43.7%vs Labour 24.8% | May 2026 Reform 38.6%vs Conservative 38.0% | Conservative→Reform +10.5pp | 46.8% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Aldridge-Brownhills at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Aldridge-Brownhills at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Richard Shepherd | 19.8% | 59.3% | 17.7% | 15,266 | 65.6% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Wendy Morton | 22.4% | 52.0% | 3.4% | 11,723 | 65.6%+0.0 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Wendy Morton | 29.8% | 65.4% | 3.3% | 14,307 | 66.7%+1.1 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Wendy Morton 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 21.5% | 69.6% | 5.6% | 22,758 | 64.7%-2.0 |
| 2024 | Con hold | Wendy Morton | 28.4% | 38.9% | 4.3% | 4,294 | 58.2%-6.5 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Aldridge-Brownhills
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Aldridge-Brownhills. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave67.8 / 71.1vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.7 / 12.4vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.4 / 70.1vs 61.9
- ↑Leave67.8 / 65.1vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate27.5 / 25.0vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent10.7 / 14.2vs 20.2
- ↑Leave67.8 / 69.5vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.4 / 70.5vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent10.7 / 13.1vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.4 / 76.4vs 61.9
- ↑Leave67.8 / 62.4vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.7 / 13.6vs 20.2
- ↑Leave67.8 / 67.8vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied75.4 / 77.9vs 61.9
- ↓Private rent10.7 / 10.4vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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