Halesowen
West Midlands · Borough constituency
About the Halesowen constituency
Halesowen is a borough constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Alex Ballinger (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 38.9% to 27.6% for the Conservatives, a majority of 4,364 votes on a 56.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 31.1% and Labour on 28.4%, a margin of 2.7 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Halesowen? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Halesowen vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Halesowen
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Halesowen within Dudley and Sandwell
Halesowen crosses council boundaries: Dudley (84%), Sandwell (16%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Dudley | 84% | View projection › |
| Sandwell | 16% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belle Vale | Labour 39.0%vs Conservative 27.5% | May 2026 Reform 35.6%vs Conservative 31.3% | Labour→Reform +16.4pp | 41.1% |
| Blackheath | Labour 40.7%vs Reform 19.3% | May 2026 Reform 49.3%vs Labour 25.8% | Labour→Reform +22.4pp | 34.9% |
| Cradley Heath and Old Hill | Labour 45.4%vs Reform 22.3% | May 2026 Reform 44.8%vs Labour 27.8% | Labour→Reform +20.1pp | 32.5% |
| Cradley North & Wollescote | Labour 40.5%vs Conservative 24.0% | May 2026 Reform 36.2%vs Lib Dem 34.1% | Labour→Reform +22.6pp | 38.0% |
| Halesowen North | Labour 41.1%vs Conservative 27.6% | May 2026 Conservative 34.4%vs Labour 30.2% | Labour→Conservative +8.9pp | 40.4% |
| Halesowen South | Labour 33.6%vs Conservative 32.5% | May 2026 Reform 37.7%vs Conservative 28.8% | Labour→Reform +15.3pp | 47.4% |
| Hayley Green & Cradley South | Labour 34.4%vs Conservative 32.5% | May 2026 Reform 39.4%vs Conservative 31.4% | Labour→Reform +18.6pp | 43.5% |
| Quarry Bank & Dudley Wood | Labour 39.6%vs Conservative 26.9% | May 2026 Reform 56.9%vs Labour 14.7% | Labour→Reform +29.6pp | 33.9% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Halesowen at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Halesowen at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Con gain from Lab | James Morris Halesowen and Rowley Regis MP | 36.6% | 41.2% | 14.8% | 2,023 | 69.0% |
| 2015predecessor | Con hold | James Morris Halesowen and Rowley Regis MP | 36.2% | 43.2% | 2.1% | 3,082 | 66.3%-2.7 |
| 2017predecessor | Con hold | James Morris Halesowen and Rowley Regis MP | 40.0% | 51.9% | 1.9% | 5,253 | 64.5%-1.8 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | James Morris Halesowen and Rowley Regis MP, pre-review boundary | 32.6% | 60.2% | 3.5% | 12,082 | 62.5% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Alex Ballinger | 38.9% | 27.6% | 5.9% | 4,364 | 56.3%-6.2 |
Halesowen was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Halesowen and Rowley Regis (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Halesowen
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Halesowen. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave65.1 / 63.7vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate25.0 / 26.8vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent14.2 / 14.9vs 20.2
- ↑Leave65.1 / 64.5vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate25.0 / 25.5vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.3 / 67.0vs 61.9
- ↑Leave65.1 / 66.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate25.0 / 22.4vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent14.2 / 12.8vs 20.2
- ↑Leave65.1 / 71.1vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate25.0 / 25.9vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent14.2 / 12.4vs 20.2
- ↑Leave65.1 / 69.5vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent14.2 / 13.1vs 20.2
- ↑Owner-occupied67.3 / 70.5vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.