Bassetlaw
East Midlands · County constituency · Bassetlaw borough
About the Bassetlaw constituency
Bassetlaw is a county constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Jo White (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 41.2% to 28.3% for the Conservatives, a majority of 5,768 votes on a 57.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 34.7% and Reform UK on 34.0%, a margin of 0.7 points.
Who lives in Bassetlaw? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Bassetlaw vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Bassetlaw
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Bassetlaw within Bassetlaw
Bassetlaw sits entirely within Bassetlaw Council. Bassetlaw was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Bassetlaw | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2025 | Ranskill | Ref GAIN from Con | Ref 53% Lab 16% Grn 15% |
| 1 May 2025 | Beckingham | Ref GAIN from Ind | Ref 34% Con 32% Other 27% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beckingham | Labour 33.9%vs Conservative 33.2% | 2023 Independent 59.0%vs Conservative 41.0% | - | 36.8% |
| Blyth | Labour 37.4%vs Conservative 37.0% | 2023 Labour 58.2%vs Conservative 41.8% | - | 39.5% |
| Carlton | Labour 37.2%vs Conservative 35.0% | 2023 Labour 52.0%vs Conservative 48.0% | - | 32.6% |
| East Retford East | Labour 39.5%vs Conservative 31.4% | 2023 Labour 44.9%vs Conservative 39.6% | - | 39.0% |
| East Retford North | Labour 42.8%vs Conservative 28.0% | 2023 Labour 55.3%vs Conservative 31.7% | - | 37.0% |
| East Retford South | Labour 44.1%vs Conservative 26.5% | 2023 Labour 58.2%vs Conservative 32.9% | - | 31.2% |
| East Retford West | Labour 39.1%vs Conservative 25.9% | 2023 Labour 41.5%vs Lib Dem 28.2% | - | 33.2% |
| Everton | Conservative 35.3%vs Labour 34.5% | 2023 Conservative 50.9%vs Independent 49.1% | - | 37.8% |
| Harworth | Labour 44.0%vs Conservative 24.3% | 2023 Labour 73.4%vs Conservative 19.9% | - | 22.8% |
| Langold | Labour 42.1%vs Conservative 25.2% | 2023 Labour 68.6%vs Conservative 31.4% | - | 23.4% |
| Misterton | Labour 37.9%vs Reform 26.7% | 2023 Independent 86.3%vs Conservative 13.7% | - | 29.3% |
| Ranskill | Conservative 37.6%vs Labour 33.6% | 2023 Conservative 56.5%vs Labour 43.5% | - | 36.0% |
| Sutton | Conservative 37.4%vs Labour 32.7% | 2023 Labour 58.4%vs Conservative 41.6% | - | 42.0% |
| Welbeck | Labour 41.4%vs Conservative 31.2% | 2023 Labour 55.6%vs Conservative 40.0% | - | 40.1% |
| Worksop East | Labour 44.9%vs Conservative 23.1% | 2023 Labour 74.1%vs Conservative 25.9% | - | 24.2% |
| Worksop North | Labour 43.9%vs Conservative 28.1% | 2023 Labour 56.2%vs Conservative 35.5% | - | 28.1% |
| Worksop North East | Labour 40.8%vs Conservative 28.8% | 2023 Labour 56.0%vs Conservative 44.0% | - | 31.5% |
| Worksop North West | Labour 43.8%vs Conservative 23.9% | 2023 Labour 69.3%vs Conservative 26.1% | - | 24.9% |
| Worksop South | Labour 39.5%vs Conservative 29.4% | 2023 Labour 59.1%vs Conservative 40.9% | - | 34.9% |
| Worksop South East | Labour 47.1%vs Reform 23.1% | 2023 Labour 79.4%vs Conservative 20.6% | - | 19.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Bassetlaw at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Bassetlaw at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | John Mann | 50.5% | 33.9% | 11.2% | 8,215 | 64.8% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | John Mann | 48.6% | 30.7% | 2.7% | 8,843 | 64.2%-0.6 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | John Mann | 52.6% | 43.3% | 2.2% | 4,852 | 66.5%+2.3 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Brendan Clarke-Smith 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 28.0% | 54.4% | 6.7% | 12,588 | 62.9%-3.6 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Jo White | 41.2% | 28.3% | 4.4% | 5,768 | 57.4%-5.5 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Bassetlaw
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Bassetlaw. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Leave68.3 / 70.4vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.9 / 22.2vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.0 / 66.1vs 61.9
- ↑Leave68.3 / 68.9vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.9 / 22.7vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.0 / 67.1vs 61.9
- ↑Leave68.3 / 65.3vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.9 / 24.3vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.0 / 69.9vs 61.9
- ↑Leave68.3 / 66.0vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.9 / 24.9vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.0 / 69.0vs 61.9
- ↑Leave68.3 / 66.7vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate24.9 / 22.3vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied67.0 / 66.1vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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