Birkenhead
North West · Borough constituency · Wirral borough
About the Birkenhead constituency
Birkenhead is a borough constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Alison McGovern (Labour), first elected in May 2010. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 52.1% to 20.1% for the Greens, a majority of 13,798 votes on a 55.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 43.0% and Reform UK on 24.2%, a margin of 18.8 points.
Who lives in Birkenhead? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Birkenhead vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Birkenhead
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Birkenhead within Wirral
Birkenhead sits entirely within Wirral Council. Wirral was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Wirral | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bebington | Labour 49.3%vs Green 24.6% | 2023 Green 68.5%vs Labour 23.8% | - | 44.5% |
| Bidston and St James | Labour 57.1%vs Reform 18.2% | 2023 Labour 72.7%vs Green 12.3% | - | 20.2% |
| Birkenhead and Tranmere | Labour 47.4%vs Green 26.4% | 2023 Green 61.9%vs Labour 33.8% | - | 29.1% |
| Claughton | Labour 58.1%vs Reform 13.2% | 2023 Labour 61.9%vs Conservative 15.2% | - | 32.1% |
| Oxton | Labour 48.6%vs Green 16.6% | 2023 Lib Dem 65.0%vs Labour 16.8% | - | 43.0% |
| Prenton | Labour 47.6%vs Green 28.7% | 2023 Green 62.3%vs Labour 30.6% | - | 37.3% |
| Rock Ferry | Labour 56.4%vs Green 16.5% | 2023 Labour 45.6%vs Green 34.8% | - | 31.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Birkenhead at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Birkenhead at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Frank Field | 62.5% | 18.9% | 18.6% | 15,395 | 56.3% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Frank Field | 67.6% | 14.9% | 3.6% | 20,652 | 62.7%+6.4 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Frank Field | 76.9% | 18.4% | 2.6% | 25,514 | 67.7%+5.0 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Mick Whitley 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 60.0% | 15.6% | 4.0% | 22,993 | 67.9%+0.2 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Alison McGovern | 52.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 13,798 | 55.2%-12.7 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Birkenhead
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Birkenhead. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied53.8 / 55.3vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent22.2 / 24.3vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate28.0 / 29.8vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied53.8 / 52.5vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate28.0 / 24.0vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent22.2 / 27.0vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate28.0 / 26.2vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent22.2 / 21.7vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied53.8 / 56.8vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate28.0 / 27.9vs 33.7
- ↓Graduate28.0 / 27.2vs 33.7
- ↓Employed53.2 / 55.1vs 57.3
- ↑Social rent22.2 / 19.1vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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