Liverpool West Derby
North West · Borough constituency
About the Liverpool West Derby constituency
Liverpool West Derby is a borough constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Ian Byrne (Labour), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 66.6% to 12.8% for Reform UK, a majority of 20,423 votes on a 54.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 60.8% and Reform UK on 21.4%, a margin of 39.3 points.
Who lives in Liverpool West Derby? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Liverpool West Derby vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Liverpool West Derby
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Liverpool West Derby within Liverpool and Knowsley
Liverpool West Derby crosses council boundaries: Liverpool (80%), Knowsley (20%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 80% | — |
| Knowsley | 20% | View projection › |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Jul 2024 | Broadgreen | Lab HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broadgreen | Labour 66.1%vs Reform 11.2% | 2023 Labour 56.9%vs Lib Dem 31.1% | - | 34.4% |
| Knotty Ash & Dovecot Park | Labour 72.0%vs Reform 11.8% | 2023 Labour 83.6%vs Green 5.9% | - | - |
| Old Swan East | Labour 69.1%vs Reform 12.5% | 2023 Labour 47.6%vs Others 40.4% | - | - |
| Old Swan West | Labour 66.4%vs Reform 13.3% | 2023 Labour 67.0%vs Others 12.0% | - | - |
| Page Moss | Labour 59.1%vs Reform 16.8% | May 2026 Green 37.6%vs Labour 31.7% | Labour→Green +28.6pp | 21.1% |
| Sandfield Park | Labour 69.1%vs Reform 12.8% | 2023 Labour 55.1%vs Others 20.5% | - | - |
| Stoneycroft | Labour 59.5%vs Reform 14.0% | 2023 Others 71.1%vs Labour 24.2% | - | - |
| Swanside | Labour 62.6%vs Reform 13.6% | May 2026 Labour 51.6%vs Reform 29.5% | Labour share -11.0pp | 30.6% |
| Tuebrook Breckside Park | Labour 58.1%vs Reform 14.5% | 2023 Others 55.8%vs Labour 35.7% | - | - |
| Tuebrook Larkhill | Labour 62.1%vs Reform 15.2% | 2023 Others 57.8%vs Labour 38.2% | - | - |
| West Derby Deysbrook | Labour 72.6%vs Reform 11.5% | 2023 Labour 66.3%vs Independent 13.4% | - | - |
| West Derby Leyfield | Labour 67.6%vs Reform 11.1% | 2023 Labour 48.4%vs Lib Dem 44.3% | - | - |
| West Derby Muirhead | Labour 69.6%vs Reform 12.1% | 2023 Labour 51.6%vs Others 30.2% | - | - |
| Yew Tree | Labour 74.0%vs Reform 10.9% | 2023 Labour 69.4%vs Independent 16.6% | - | 16.6% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Liverpool West Derby at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Liverpool West Derby at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Stephen Twigg | 64.1% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 18,467 | 56.7% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Stephen Twigg | 75.2% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 27,367 | 64.5%+7.8 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Stephen Twigg | 82.7% | 9.9% | 1.2% | 32,908 | 69.3%+4.8 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Ian Byrne 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 77.9% | 8.6% | 2.7% | 32,321 | 66.0%-3.3 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Ian Byrne | 66.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 20,423 | 54.3%-11.7 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Liverpool West Derby
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Liverpool West Derby. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Graduate26.2 / 22.9vs 33.7
- ↑No quals25.1 / 26.8vs 18.0
- ↓Owner-occupied56.8 / 52.3vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate26.2 / 28.0vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent21.7 / 22.2vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied56.8 / 53.8vs 61.9
- ↓Graduate26.2 / 22.6vs 33.7
- ↑No quals25.1 / 27.7vs 18.0
- ↓Owner-occupied56.8 / 56.1vs 61.9
- ↓Owner-occupied56.8 / 55.3vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent21.7 / 24.3vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate26.2 / 29.8vs 33.7
- ↓Graduate26.2 / 24.0vs 33.7
- ↑No quals25.1 / 24.3vs 18.0
- ↓Owner-occupied56.8 / 52.5vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.